Civil War Prediction : Literature Review on Territorial and Ethnic Structural Conditions

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14230%2F20%3A00120052" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14230/20:00120052 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://annals-politics.univ-ovidius.ro/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/3.-AUOC-PolSci-Vol.-9-2020-67-87-Ilavska.pdf" target="_blank" >http://annals-politics.univ-ovidius.ro/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/3.-AUOC-PolSci-Vol.-9-2020-67-87-Ilavska.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Civil War Prediction : Literature Review on Territorial and Ethnic Structural Conditions

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Armed civil conflicts in foreign countries have significant consequences for states in the international system. The political, social and economic threats generated by them have in recent years become relevant in a global sense. In order to successfully deal with them, the international community desires to develop a reliable prediction and prevention model. The crucial part concerns the identification of the causal paths leading to conflict escalation but assembling these paths must be preceded by the evaluation of various possible causes as separate variables. It is also important to factor causal complexity into the model, therefore, to analyze not only single variables but also their interconnections. The article reviews two major areas of civil conflict causes – territorial and ethnic. It summarizes the main arguments and theories beyond the suggested proxy variables representing territorial and ethnic problems. By reviewing the existing research, this study aims to facilitate the selection of variables for prediction and prevention systems. The result is a literature review clarifying the relations among the causes of conflict that underlies their importance. All proposed territorial and ethnic causes have to be assessed in relation with complementary variables but also applied to a particular country which would benefit from the prediction and prevention model.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Civil War Prediction : Literature Review on Territorial and Ethnic Structural Conditions

Popis výsledku anglicky

Armed civil conflicts in foreign countries have significant consequences for states in the international system. The political, social and economic threats generated by them have in recent years become relevant in a global sense. In order to successfully deal with them, the international community desires to develop a reliable prediction and prevention model. The crucial part concerns the identification of the causal paths leading to conflict escalation but assembling these paths must be preceded by the evaluation of various possible causes as separate variables. It is also important to factor causal complexity into the model, therefore, to analyze not only single variables but also their interconnections. The article reviews two major areas of civil conflict causes – territorial and ethnic. It summarizes the main arguments and theories beyond the suggested proxy variables representing territorial and ethnic problems. By reviewing the existing research, this study aims to facilitate the selection of variables for prediction and prevention systems. The result is a literature review clarifying the relations among the causes of conflict that underlies their importance. All proposed territorial and ethnic causes have to be assessed in relation with complementary variables but also applied to a particular country which would benefit from the prediction and prevention model.

Druh

J_ost - Ostatní články v recenzovaných periodicích

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/VI20172020094" target="_blank" >VI20172020094: Metodika predikce, včasného varování a prevence hrozeb plynoucích z regionálních ozbrojených konfliktů pro vnitřní bezpečnost ČR</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2020

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Annals of the „Ovidius” University of Constanţa, Political Science Series

ISSN

2286-315X

e-ISSN

2668-0831

Svazek periodika

9

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

neuveden

Stát vydavatele periodika

RO - Rumunsko

Počet stran výsledku

21

Strana od-do

67-87

Kód UT WoS článku

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EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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