Strained Relations in the High North : Steps-to-War Analysis of Conflict Potential in the Arctic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14230%2F24%3A00135345" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14230/24:00135345 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2023.2292471" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2023.2292471</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2023.2292471" target="_blank" >10.1080/09668136.2023.2292471</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Strained Relations in the High North : Steps-to-War Analysis of Conflict Potential in the Arctic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Following the 2014 annexation of Crimea by Russia, tensions have heightened in the international relations and security environment, including the Arctic region. We are witnessing renewed geopolitical rivalry and military tensions between the Arctic states. In this article, a steps-to-war model of conflict escalation is used to calculate whether the conflict potential in the Arctic is rising. While our results confirm an increase in confrontational behaviour according to militarisation and coalition-building markers, the rivalry marker shows a rise in cooperative behaviour. Hence, in our model, the preconditions signalling an increased likelihood of international armed conflict are not fulfilled.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Strained Relations in the High North : Steps-to-War Analysis of Conflict Potential in the Arctic

Popis výsledku anglicky

Following the 2014 annexation of Crimea by Russia, tensions have heightened in the international relations and security environment, including the Arctic region. We are witnessing renewed geopolitical rivalry and military tensions between the Arctic states. In this article, a steps-to-war model of conflict escalation is used to calculate whether the conflict potential in the Arctic is rising. While our results confirm an increase in confrontational behaviour according to militarisation and coalition-building markers, the rivalry marker shows a rise in cooperative behaviour. Hence, in our model, the preconditions signalling an increased likelihood of international armed conflict are not fulfilled.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Europe-Asia Studies

ISSN

0966-8136

e-ISSN

1465-3427

Svazek periodika

76

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

25

Strana od-do

289-313

Kód UT WoS článku

001139901000001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85182180665