Nexus of Ruble Exchange Rate and Other Macroeconomic Factors in the Period of Recent Economic Instability

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

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Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Nexus of Ruble Exchange Rate and Other Macroeconomic Factors in the Period of Recent Economic Instability

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Primary cause of recent Russian economic downturn was the decline in global oil prices, which led to currency crisis in Russia. But more factors need to be taken into consideration, specifically commodity prices, Russian interest rates, development of Russian stock market and development of the USD exchange rate. Existence of direct relationship between these individual factors and ruble exchange rate is likely. However, it is not sufficient to investigate only correlational relationships between thesevariables ? causal relationships need to be identified as well. Correlation between variables may be obvious from data, tables or plots, but causalities between variables are not clear at first sight. Determination of these causalities was the aim of this paper. This task was fulfilled by usage of VAR approach, which is considered to be standard econometric tool to determine Granger causality in case of stationary time series.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Nexus of Ruble Exchange Rate and Other Macroeconomic Factors in the Period of Recent Economic Instability

Popis výsledku anglicky

Primary cause of recent Russian economic downturn was the decline in global oil prices, which led to currency crisis in Russia. But more factors need to be taken into consideration, specifically commodity prices, Russian interest rates, development of Russian stock market and development of the USD exchange rate. Existence of direct relationship between these individual factors and ruble exchange rate is likely. However, it is not sufficient to investigate only correlational relationships between thesevariables ? causal relationships need to be identified as well. Correlation between variables may be obvious from data, tables or plots, but causalities between variables are not clear at first sight. Determination of these causalities was the aim of this paper. This task was fulfilled by usage of VAR approach, which is considered to be standard econometric tool to determine Granger causality in case of stationary time series.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2015

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

European Financial Systems 2015. Proceedings of the 12th International Scientific Conference

ISBN

9788021079625

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

8

Strana od-do

641-648

Název nakladatele

Masaryk University

Místo vydání

Brno

Místo konání akce

Brno

Datum konání akce

1. 1. 2015

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

EUR - Evropská akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000370679200084