Estimating the Laffer Curve for Slovakia: A DSGE Approach

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14560%2F19%3A00110683" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14560/19:00110683 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://mme2019.ef.jcu.cz/" target="_blank" >https://mme2019.ef.jcu.cz/</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

—

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Estimating the Laffer Curve for Slovakia: A DSGE Approach

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The goal of this paper is to quantify the impact of alternative tax adjustments on government tax revenues and the size of the shadow economy in Slovakia. Our approach uses a small dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model consisting of both formal and informal sectors of the economy. Using the quarterly data for the Slovak economy from 2000 to 2017 we estimate a linearised form of the DSGE model. Based on our parameter estimates, we perform a set of simulations using the non-linear form of the underlying DSGE model to evaluate the effects of changes in the corporate tax rate, personal income tax rate, social security tax rate, and in the probability of tax control. These effects are evaluated with regards to the changes in steady-state values of the output in the official economy, total tax revenues, and the size of the shadow economy. The corresponding Laffer curves show strong responses in the size of the underground economy when the corporate tax rates or personal income tax rates are growing. On the other hand, the increase of the social security tax rates causes only small growth in the share of the shadow economy without negative effects on government tax revenues.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Estimating the Laffer Curve for Slovakia: A DSGE Approach

Popis výsledku anglicky

The goal of this paper is to quantify the impact of alternative tax adjustments on government tax revenues and the size of the shadow economy in Slovakia. Our approach uses a small dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model consisting of both formal and informal sectors of the economy. Using the quarterly data for the Slovak economy from 2000 to 2017 we estimate a linearised form of the DSGE model. Based on our parameter estimates, we perform a set of simulations using the non-linear form of the underlying DSGE model to evaluate the effects of changes in the corporate tax rate, personal income tax rate, social security tax rate, and in the probability of tax control. These effects are evaluated with regards to the changes in steady-state values of the output in the official economy, total tax revenues, and the size of the shadow economy. The corresponding Laffer curves show strong responses in the size of the underground economy when the corporate tax rates or personal income tax rates are growing. On the other hand, the increase of the social security tax rates causes only small growth in the share of the shadow economy without negative effects on government tax revenues.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2019

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Proceedings of 37th International Conference on Mathematical Methods in Economics

ISBN

9788073947606

ISSN

—

e-ISSN

—

Počet stran výsledku

7

Strana od-do

297-303

Název nakladatele

University of South Bohemia in České Budějovice

Místo vydání

České Budějovice

Místo konání akce

České Budějovice

Datum konání akce

1. 1. 2019

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

—