Climate change drives the retreat of Aethionema spinosum (Brassicaceae) to high-elevation refugia

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14740%2F25%3A00143099" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14740/25:00143099 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-20695-2" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-20695-2</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-20695-2" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41598-025-20695-2</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Climate change drives the retreat of Aethionema spinosum (Brassicaceae) to high-elevation refugia

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Global climate change poses an increasing threat to biodiversity, prompting scientists to utilize ecological and evolutionary knowledge to address this challenge. Understanding these fields and their interconnections is crucial for improving conservation strategies. Accordingly, we conducted a study to assess the potential repercussions of climate change on Aethionema spinosum, a plant species endemic to the mountains of the Irano-Turanian floristic region. Employing ecological niche modeling (ENM), we projected the potential geographic distribution of A. spinosum under current conditions and two future climate scenarios (SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5) for the period 2041–2060. Key climatic factors, including annual mean temperature (bio1), isothermality (bio3), and precipitation of the wettest quarter (bio16), exhibited the highest percentage contribution rates influencing the distribution of A. spinosum. The current model predicted the distribution of A. spinosum in montane areas, while under future-climatic conditions, a reduction and shift toward higher elevations were anticipated. Notably, substantial losses were observed in areas proximate to existing habitats. These findings are useful for the management and conservation of A. spinosum and provide insights into the potential future impacts of climate change on its distribution in the Irano-Turanian region.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Climate change drives the retreat of Aethionema spinosum (Brassicaceae) to high-elevation refugia

Popis výsledku anglicky

Global climate change poses an increasing threat to biodiversity, prompting scientists to utilize ecological and evolutionary knowledge to address this challenge. Understanding these fields and their interconnections is crucial for improving conservation strategies. Accordingly, we conducted a study to assess the potential repercussions of climate change on Aethionema spinosum, a plant species endemic to the mountains of the Irano-Turanian floristic region. Employing ecological niche modeling (ENM), we projected the potential geographic distribution of A. spinosum under current conditions and two future climate scenarios (SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5) for the period 2041–2060. Key climatic factors, including annual mean temperature (bio1), isothermality (bio3), and precipitation of the wettest quarter (bio16), exhibited the highest percentage contribution rates influencing the distribution of A. spinosum. The current model predicted the distribution of A. spinosum in montane areas, while under future-climatic conditions, a reduction and shift toward higher elevations were anticipated. Notably, substantial losses were observed in areas proximate to existing habitats. These findings are useful for the management and conservation of A. spinosum and provide insights into the potential future impacts of climate change on its distribution in the Irano-Turanian region.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10611 - Plant sciences, botany

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EH22_008%2F0004581" target="_blank" >EH22_008/0004581: Nové poznatky pro plodiny nové generace</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Scientific Reports

ISSN

2045-2322

e-ISSN

2045-2322

Svazek periodika

15

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

13

Strana od-do

36764

Kód UT WoS článku

001598250200043

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-105019368779