Risks and the influence of negative interest rates on economic activity: A case study of Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25410%2F20%3A39916120" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25410/20:39916120 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://businessperspectives.org/journals/banks-and-bank-systems/issue-344/risks-and-the-influence-of-negative-interest-rates-on-economic-activity-a-case-study-of-sweden-denmark-and-switzerland" target="_blank" >https://businessperspectives.org/journals/banks-and-bank-systems/issue-344/risks-and-the-influence-of-negative-interest-rates-on-economic-activity-a-case-study-of-sweden-denmark-and-switzerland</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.04" target="_blank" >10.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.04</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Risks and the influence of negative interest rates on economic activity: A case study of Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of negative interest rates on economic activity in a selected group of countries, in particular Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland, for the period 2009–2018. The central banks of these countries were among the first to implement negative interest rates to revive the economic growth. Therefore, this study analyzed long- and short-term relationships between interest rates announced by central banks and gross domestic product and blue chip stock indices. Time series analysis was conducted using Engle-Granger cointegration analysis and Granger causality testing to identify long- and short-term relationship. The first step, using the Akaike criteria, was to determine the optimal delay of the entire time interval for the analyzed periods. Time series that seem to be stationary were excluded based on the results of the Dickey-Fuller test. Further testing continued with the Engle-Granger test if the conditions were met. It was designed to identify co-integration relationships that would show correlation between the selected variables. These tests showed that at a significance level of 0.05, there is no co-integration between any time series in the countries analyzed. On the basis of these analyses, it was determined that there were no long-term relationships between interest rates and GDP or stock indices for these countries during the monitored time period. Using Granger causality, the study only confirmed short-term relationship between interest rates and GDP for all examined countries, though not between interest rates and the stock indices

Název v anglickém jazyce

Risks and the influence of negative interest rates on economic activity: A case study of Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland

Popis výsledku anglicky

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of negative interest rates on economic activity in a selected group of countries, in particular Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland, for the period 2009–2018. The central banks of these countries were among the first to implement negative interest rates to revive the economic growth. Therefore, this study analyzed long- and short-term relationships between interest rates announced by central banks and gross domestic product and blue chip stock indices. Time series analysis was conducted using Engle-Granger cointegration analysis and Granger causality testing to identify long- and short-term relationship. The first step, using the Akaike criteria, was to determine the optimal delay of the entire time interval for the analyzed periods. Time series that seem to be stationary were excluded based on the results of the Dickey-Fuller test. Further testing continued with the Engle-Granger test if the conditions were met. It was designed to identify co-integration relationships that would show correlation between the selected variables. These tests showed that at a significance level of 0.05, there is no co-integration between any time series in the countries analyzed. On the basis of these analyses, it was determined that there were no long-term relationships between interest rates and GDP or stock indices for these countries during the monitored time period. Using Granger causality, the study only confirmed short-term relationship between interest rates and GDP for all examined countries, though not between interest rates and the stock indices

Druh

J_SC - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50206 - Finance

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2020

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Banks and bank systems

ISSN

1816-7403

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

15

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

UA - Ukrajina

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

30-41

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85080888308