STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF RAIL TRANSPORT ACCIDENTS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25510%2F16%3A39901260" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25510/16:39901260 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF RAIL TRANSPORT ACCIDENTS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
Transport accidents are significant components of the crisis management of every transport services provider. Safety in transport has gained increasing importance over the last few years. The Transport Policy of the Czech Republic for 2014 – 2020 with the Prospect of 2050 defines the goals determining process of traffic safety development. This paper will be focused on rail transport, especially on accidents. Rail transport is an important part of the transport system in the Czech Republic because of the railway infrastructure’s density. In the monitored period 2008 – 2015 the accidents in rail transport had relatively declining trend. The aim of this article is to analyze accidents in rail transport in the Czech Republic in the period 2008 – 2015 and forecast future course for the year 2016. In the first step it will be recognized the seasonal trend of the time series of accidents in rail transport. In case that the time series will have a seasonal component, it must be cleaned of its impact. After seasonal analysis will be investigated the trend component of the time series by the growth characteristics, the chart analysis and the Theil’s coefficient. If the time series would include the trend component, we should be able to forecast the accidents in rail transport for the year 2016.
Název v anglickém jazyce
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF RAIL TRANSPORT ACCIDENTS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Popis výsledku anglicky
Transport accidents are significant components of the crisis management of every transport services provider. Safety in transport has gained increasing importance over the last few years. The Transport Policy of the Czech Republic for 2014 – 2020 with the Prospect of 2050 defines the goals determining process of traffic safety development. This paper will be focused on rail transport, especially on accidents. Rail transport is an important part of the transport system in the Czech Republic because of the railway infrastructure’s density. In the monitored period 2008 – 2015 the accidents in rail transport had relatively declining trend. The aim of this article is to analyze accidents in rail transport in the Czech Republic in the period 2008 – 2015 and forecast future course for the year 2016. In the first step it will be recognized the seasonal trend of the time series of accidents in rail transport. In case that the time series will have a seasonal component, it must be cleaned of its impact. After seasonal analysis will be investigated the trend component of the time series by the growth characteristics, the chart analysis and the Theil’s coefficient. If the time series would include the trend component, we should be able to forecast the accidents in rail transport for the year 2016.
Klasifikace
Druh
D - Stať ve sborníku
CEP obor
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OECD FORD obor
50204 - Business and management
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
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Návaznosti
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2016
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název statě ve sborníku
SGEM 2016 : Political Sciences, Law, Finance, Economics and Tourism Conference Proceedings. Book 2, vol. 5
ISBN
978-619-7105-76-6
ISSN
2367-5659
e-ISSN
neuvedeno
Počet stran výsledku
8
Strana od-do
619-626
Název nakladatele
STEF92 Technology Ltd.
Místo vydání
Sofie
Místo konání akce
Albena
Datum konání akce
24. 8. 2016
Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti
WRD - Celosvětová akce
Kód UT WoS článku
000395727200081