Sensitivity analysis of MACD indicator on selection of input periods combination

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25530%2F16%3A39901920" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25530/16:39901920 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://mme2016.tul.cz/conferenceproceedings/mme2016_conference_proceedings.pdf" target="_blank" >http://mme2016.tul.cz/conferenceproceedings/mme2016_conference_proceedings.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Sensitivity analysis of MACD indicator on selection of input periods combination

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The trend indicator MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) is commonly used powerful tool of technical analysis. It allows to predict many profitable trades (buying and selling signal), especially when convergence and divergence periods are correctly recognized. The MACD value is dependent on three input parameters, length of short, long and signal period respectively. Generally applied combination of periods 12/26/9 was introduced by Gerald Appel in 1979 for trading with silver. However there is no standard or methodology for selection of optimal input periods and many other combinations are utilized. The aim of presented contribution is the sensitivity analysis of MACD values on selection of short, long and signal period lengths. In the first part MACD indicator is formally defined using weighted exponential averages, from this definition the dependence of input parameters and resulting MACD value is more understandable. Case study involves three types of shares with growing, falling and changing trend respectively. From results we can conclude that prolonging of signal frame increases sensitivity of MACD indicator. Moreover combination 12/26/9 is not optimal for selected shares and lengths of short and long period are in mutual relation. Keywords: MACD indicator, weighted exponential average, technical analysis, profitable trade, short period, long period, signal period.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Sensitivity analysis of MACD indicator on selection of input periods combination

Popis výsledku anglicky

The trend indicator MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) is commonly used powerful tool of technical analysis. It allows to predict many profitable trades (buying and selling signal), especially when convergence and divergence periods are correctly recognized. The MACD value is dependent on three input parameters, length of short, long and signal period respectively. Generally applied combination of periods 12/26/9 was introduced by Gerald Appel in 1979 for trading with silver. However there is no standard or methodology for selection of optimal input periods and many other combinations are utilized. The aim of presented contribution is the sensitivity analysis of MACD values on selection of short, long and signal period lengths. In the first part MACD indicator is formally defined using weighted exponential averages, from this definition the dependence of input parameters and resulting MACD value is more understandable. Case study involves three types of shares with growing, falling and changing trend respectively. From results we can conclude that prolonging of signal frame increases sensitivity of MACD indicator. Moreover combination 12/26/9 is not optimal for selected shares and lengths of short and long period are in mutual relation. Keywords: MACD indicator, weighted exponential average, technical analysis, profitable trade, short period, long period, signal period.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Mathematical Methods in Economics 2016 (MME 2016) : proceedings

ISBN

978-80-7494-296-9

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

6

Strana od-do

594-599

Název nakladatele

Technická univerzita v Liberci

Místo vydání

Liberec

Místo konání akce

Liberec

Datum konání akce

7. 9. 2016

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

EUR - Evropská akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000385239500102