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Evaluation of Investment Risks in CBA with Monte Carlo Method

Identifikátory výsledku

  • Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26110%2F15%3APU113592" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26110/15:PU113592 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Výsledek na webu

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563010245" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563010245</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201563010245" target="_blank" >10.11118/actaun201563010245</a>

Alternativní jazyky

  • Jazyk výsledku

    angličtina

  • Název v původním jazyce

    Evaluation of Investment Risks in CBA with Monte Carlo Method

  • Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

    Investment decisions are at the core of any development strategy. Economic growth and welfare depend on productive capital, infrastructure, human capital, knowledge, total factor productivity and the quality of institutions. Decision-making process on the selection of suitable projects in the public sector is in some aspects more difficult than in the private sector. Evaluating projects on the basis of their financial profitability, where the basic parameter is the value of the potential profit, can be misleading in these cases. One of the basic objectives of the allocation of public resources is respecting of the 3E principle (Economy, Effectiveness, Efficiency) in their whole life cycle. The life cycle of the investment projects consists of four main phases. The first pre-investment phase is very important for decision-making process whether to accept or reject a public project for its realization. A well-designed feasibility study as well as cost-benefit analysis (CBA) in this phase are important assumptions for future success of the project. A future financial and economical CF which represent the fundamental basis for calculation of economic effectiveness indicators are formed and modelled in these documents. This paper deals with the possibility to calculate the financial and economic efficiency of the public investment projects more accurately by simulation methods used.

  • Název v anglickém jazyce

    Evaluation of Investment Risks in CBA with Monte Carlo Method

  • Popis výsledku anglicky

    Investment decisions are at the core of any development strategy. Economic growth and welfare depend on productive capital, infrastructure, human capital, knowledge, total factor productivity and the quality of institutions. Decision-making process on the selection of suitable projects in the public sector is in some aspects more difficult than in the private sector. Evaluating projects on the basis of their financial profitability, where the basic parameter is the value of the potential profit, can be misleading in these cases. One of the basic objectives of the allocation of public resources is respecting of the 3E principle (Economy, Effectiveness, Efficiency) in their whole life cycle. The life cycle of the investment projects consists of four main phases. The first pre-investment phase is very important for decision-making process whether to accept or reject a public project for its realization. A well-designed feasibility study as well as cost-benefit analysis (CBA) in this phase are important assumptions for future success of the project. A future financial and economical CF which represent the fundamental basis for calculation of economic effectiveness indicators are formed and modelled in these documents. This paper deals with the possibility to calculate the financial and economic efficiency of the public investment projects more accurately by simulation methods used.

Klasifikace

  • Druh

    J<sub>SC</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

  • CEP obor

  • OECD FORD obor

    20101 - Civil engineering

Návaznosti výsledku

  • Projekt

  • Návaznosti

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Ostatní

  • Rok uplatnění

    2015

  • Kód důvěrnosti údajů

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku

  • Název periodika

    Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis

  • ISSN

    1211-8516

  • e-ISSN

    2464-8310

  • Svazek periodika

    2015

  • Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

    63

  • Stát vydavatele periodika

    CZ - Česká republika

  • Počet stran výsledku

    7

  • Strana od-do

    245-251

  • Kód UT WoS článku

  • EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

    2-s2.0-84925452085