Stochastic techno-economic evaluation model for biomass supply chain: A biomass gasification case study with supply chain uncertainties

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26210%2F21%3APU143853" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26210/21:PU143853 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032121009199" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032121009199</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111644" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.rser.2021.111644</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Stochastic techno-economic evaluation model for biomass supply chain: A biomass gasification case study with supply chain uncertainties

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Sustainable development has been a goal for many industries, which can be achieved via the substitution of non-renewable feedstocks with greener alternatives such as substituting coal with biomass for gasification process. The sustainably produced biomass-derived syngas has a lower carbon emission when utilized as a fuel. Although most studies have reported the possible impact of biomass quality on the feasibility of biomass conversion process, there is still little published works on the incorporation of biomass quality directly into developed mathematical evaluation model. Therefore, this paper aims to perform techno-economic feasibility evaluation on biomass gasification process, with the consideration of various supply chain uncertainties via Monte Carlo simulation (i.e., biomass supply, biomass quality, biomass pricing, transportation fuel price, and syngas sale price). This is achieved via integration of a generic correlation equation relating biomass quality to specific syngas yield into the Monte Carlo model. Upon consideration of the uncertainties, this study revealed that mesocarp fibre has a higher net present value (NPV) in the range of Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) 70 million to greater than MYR 120 million amongst the three types of palm-based biomass (empty fruit bunches (EFB), palm kernel shells (PKS), and mesocarp fibre). Additionally, environmental assessment performed deduced that mesocarp fibre is slightly more preferable in the impact category for HTPI and TTP with a probability of 98 % to achieve the equivalent emissions within the lower range of 0-0.2 kg 1,4-C6H4Cl2, eq whereas EFB and PKS has a probability of 18 % and 28 %, respectively.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Stochastic techno-economic evaluation model for biomass supply chain: A biomass gasification case study with supply chain uncertainties

Popis výsledku anglicky

Sustainable development has been a goal for many industries, which can be achieved via the substitution of non-renewable feedstocks with greener alternatives such as substituting coal with biomass for gasification process. The sustainably produced biomass-derived syngas has a lower carbon emission when utilized as a fuel. Although most studies have reported the possible impact of biomass quality on the feasibility of biomass conversion process, there is still little published works on the incorporation of biomass quality directly into developed mathematical evaluation model. Therefore, this paper aims to perform techno-economic feasibility evaluation on biomass gasification process, with the consideration of various supply chain uncertainties via Monte Carlo simulation (i.e., biomass supply, biomass quality, biomass pricing, transportation fuel price, and syngas sale price). This is achieved via integration of a generic correlation equation relating biomass quality to specific syngas yield into the Monte Carlo model. Upon consideration of the uncertainties, this study revealed that mesocarp fibre has a higher net present value (NPV) in the range of Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) 70 million to greater than MYR 120 million amongst the three types of palm-based biomass (empty fruit bunches (EFB), palm kernel shells (PKS), and mesocarp fibre). Additionally, environmental assessment performed deduced that mesocarp fibre is slightly more preferable in the impact category for HTPI and TTP with a probability of 98 % to achieve the equivalent emissions within the lower range of 0-0.2 kg 1,4-C6H4Cl2, eq whereas EFB and PKS has a probability of 18 % and 28 %, respectively.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

20704 - Energy and fuels

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EF16_026%2F0008413" target="_blank" >EF16_026/0008413: Strategické partnerství pro environmentální technologie a produkci energie</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS

ISSN

1364-0321

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

152

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

23

Strana od-do

„111644-1“-„111644-21“

Kód UT WoS článku

000708520900006

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85114636652