Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

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Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Numerical Models for Wind Power Plant Power Prediction

Popis výsledku anglicky

The paper deals with prediction of generated power from wind power plants. At the beginning there are mentioned basic purposes of prediction and simulation. Predicting options and their difficulties are discussed together with prediction advance and prediction step requirements. Various ways of wind supply prediction can bring different results. Difficulty and expected effect on prediction accuracy is estimated as well. In second part there are made basic simulation models, which are subsequently optimized. There were used Autoregressive model, Moving Average model and statistical Markov switching process. Programmed models are tested on real data from 2 MW Vestas wind turbine. Achieved results are analysed by sta-tistical methods and consequently evaluated.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

JE - Nejaderná energetika, spotřeba a užití energie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2013

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Proceedings of the 14th International Scientific Conference Electric Power Engineering 2013

ISBN

978-80-248-2988-3

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

4

Strana od-do

759-762

Název nakladatele

VSB ? Technical University of Ostrava

Místo vydání

Ostrava

Místo konání akce

Kouty nad Desnou

Datum konání akce

28. 5. 2013

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

EUR - Evropská akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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