Cointegration of Interdependencies Among Capital Markets of Chosen Visegrad Countries and Germany

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26510%2F16%3APU121284" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26510/16:PU121284 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Cointegration of Interdependencies Among Capital Markets of Chosen Visegrad Countries and Germany

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Identification of linkages among capital markets is crucial for forming policies that take into account risk associated with international financial markets interdependencies. Thus, the aim of the article is to analyse interdependencies among capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary. The research hypothesis was given as follows: There is a similar course and changes in the interdependencies among capital markets of Germany and the markets of the mentioned countries of the Visegrad Group. In the research a DCC-GARCH model was applied. The model allowed to estimate conditional correlations that indicate strength of the interrelationship among the markets. Then, the cointegration analysis of the conditional correlations was conducted. The proposed econometric procedure allowed to verify the research hypothesis. It confirmed that the capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary are characterised with similar long-term path. Additionally, the research showed that changes in the direction and strength of the interrelationships among the studied markets are determined by the German capital market in the long-term, which is a leader in the region.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Cointegration of Interdependencies Among Capital Markets of Chosen Visegrad Countries and Germany

Popis výsledku anglicky

Identification of linkages among capital markets is crucial for forming policies that take into account risk associated with international financial markets interdependencies. Thus, the aim of the article is to analyse interdependencies among capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary. The research hypothesis was given as follows: There is a similar course and changes in the interdependencies among capital markets of Germany and the markets of the mentioned countries of the Visegrad Group. In the research a DCC-GARCH model was applied. The model allowed to estimate conditional correlations that indicate strength of the interrelationship among the markets. Then, the cointegration analysis of the conditional correlations was conducted. The proposed econometric procedure allowed to verify the research hypothesis. It confirmed that the capital markets of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary are characterised with similar long-term path. Additionally, the research showed that changes in the direction and strength of the interrelationships among the studied markets are determined by the German capital market in the long-term, which is a leader in the region.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

34TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN ECONOMICS (MME 2016)

ISBN

978-80-7494-296-9

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

6

Strana od-do

189-194

Název nakladatele

Technical University of Liberec

Místo vydání

Liberec, Czech Republic

Místo konání akce

Liberec

Datum konání akce

6. 9. 2016

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000385239500033