Development of Slovenian Macroeconomic Imbalances and their Synchronization with EU Countries

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F46747885%3A24310%2F25%3A00013560" target="_blank" >RIV/46747885:24310/25:00013560 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2025-0002" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2025-0002</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2025-0002" target="_blank" >10.2478/ngoe-2025-0002</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Development of Slovenian Macroeconomic Imbalances and their Synchronization with EU Countries

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Slovenia and other EU member states are subject to the Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure. This article aims to evaluate the macroeconomic imbalances of the Slovenian economy and its synchronisation with other EU countries from 2013 to 2022. Eleven Scoreboard indicators are used to monitor external and internal macroeconomic imbalances. The originality of the paper relates to the use of cluster analysis to determine Slovenia’s position among other EU countries in terms of imbalance indicators by dividing EU countries into clusters based on their similarity. The process used the standardized squared Euclidean distance as the basic metric, the furthest neighbour method was used to cluster the objects, which are represented graphically by a dendrogram. Slovenia exhibited relative stability in both external and internal macroeconomic imbalances between 2013 and 2022. However, in the last three years, it showed threshold values for the nominal unit labour cost index, general government gross debt, and there was a risk associated with the development of the house price index. The cluster analysis revealed that Slovenia’s external macroeconomic imbalances were significantly synchronized with core EU countries in 2014 and 2022. In 2017 and 2020, macroeconomic imbalances exhibited similarities with the Baltic and Central European countries. The internal macroeconomic balance remained stable in the monitored period, and it developed in sync with the core EU countries and Central European countries.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Development of Slovenian Macroeconomic Imbalances and their Synchronization with EU Countries

Popis výsledku anglicky

Slovenia and other EU member states are subject to the Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure. This article aims to evaluate the macroeconomic imbalances of the Slovenian economy and its synchronisation with other EU countries from 2013 to 2022. Eleven Scoreboard indicators are used to monitor external and internal macroeconomic imbalances. The originality of the paper relates to the use of cluster analysis to determine Slovenia’s position among other EU countries in terms of imbalance indicators by dividing EU countries into clusters based on their similarity. The process used the standardized squared Euclidean distance as the basic metric, the furthest neighbour method was used to cluster the objects, which are represented graphically by a dendrogram. Slovenia exhibited relative stability in both external and internal macroeconomic imbalances between 2013 and 2022. However, in the last three years, it showed threshold values for the nominal unit labour cost index, general government gross debt, and there was a risk associated with the development of the house price index. The cluster analysis revealed that Slovenia’s external macroeconomic imbalances were significantly synchronized with core EU countries in 2014 and 2022. In 2017 and 2020, macroeconomic imbalances exhibited similarities with the Baltic and Central European countries. The internal macroeconomic balance remained stable in the monitored period, and it developed in sync with the core EU countries and Central European countries.

Druh

J_ost - Ostatní články v recenzovaných periodicích

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy>

ISSN

0547-3101

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

71

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

SI - Slovinská republika

Počet stran výsledku

10

Strana od-do

12-21

Kód UT WoS článku

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EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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