The impact of fiscal discipline on sovereign risk spread

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F47813059%3A19520%2F13%3A%230002488" target="_blank" >RIV/47813059:19520/13:#0002488 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

The impact of fiscal discipline on sovereign risk spread

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The paper examines the effect of fiscal policy on financial markets and investigates whether fiscal discipline affects sovereign risk spread. We performed estimation on three different panels with the goal to find differences between euro and non-euro countries. We used next variables for testing the impact on sovereign bond spread: German Bunds' interest, budget balance, debt, difference between members´ debt and value of German debt and the fiscal rules index. Correlation analysis identified the strong correlation between sovereign yield spread and budget balance. This is the common trend for all panels. Fiscal rules index is strong correlated with spread too and it is more noticeable in EURO panel. The biggest difference between panels was found forthe debt and German interest rate. These variables are strong correlated only in EURO countries. Surprisingly, there is no correlation in nonEURO and EURO24 panels. Next, we used Granger causality methodology. In short-term, there is two

Název v anglickém jazyce

The impact of fiscal discipline on sovereign risk spread

Popis výsledku anglicky

The paper examines the effect of fiscal policy on financial markets and investigates whether fiscal discipline affects sovereign risk spread. We performed estimation on three different panels with the goal to find differences between euro and non-euro countries. We used next variables for testing the impact on sovereign bond spread: German Bunds' interest, budget balance, debt, difference between members´ debt and value of German debt and the fiscal rules index. Correlation analysis identified the strong correlation between sovereign yield spread and budget balance. This is the common trend for all panels. Fiscal rules index is strong correlated with spread too and it is more noticeable in EURO panel. The biggest difference between panels was found forthe debt and German interest rate. These variables are strong correlated only in EURO countries. Surprisingly, there is no correlation in nonEURO and EURO24 panels. Next, we used Granger causality methodology. In short-term, there is two

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

O - Projekt operacniho programu

Rok uplatnění

2013

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Conference Proceeding of 11th International Conference Economic Policy in the European Union Member Countries

ISBN

978-80-248-3095-7

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

338-349

Název nakladatele

VŠB - Technical University of Ostrava

Místo vydání

Ostrava

Místo konání akce

Velké Karlovice

Datum konání akce

18. 9. 2013

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

EUR - Evropská akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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