Economic forecast on the basis of linear trend analysis and "bottom-up" approach.

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F47813059%3A19520%2F15%3A%230003789" target="_blank" >RIV/47813059:19520/15:#0003789 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Economic forecast on the basis of linear trend analysis and "bottom-up" approach.

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The prediction based on development of macroeconomic indicators might be analyzed by various models. For our purpose two models- linear trend analysis and "Bottom-up" approach of the International Monetary Fund - have been chosen. We estimate economic development of Papua New Guinea using the indicators such as gross domestic product, the growth of gross domestic product, inflation, current account and budgetary balance as a percentage of gross domestic products. The aim of this article is to verify thehypothesis of differences in predictions using the model of linear trend analysis and bottom-up approach. It was found out that these two types of analyses considerably diverge in their results.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Economic forecast on the basis of linear trend analysis and "bottom-up" approach.

Popis výsledku anglicky

The prediction based on development of macroeconomic indicators might be analyzed by various models. For our purpose two models- linear trend analysis and "Bottom-up" approach of the International Monetary Fund - have been chosen. We estimate economic development of Papua New Guinea using the indicators such as gross domestic product, the growth of gross domestic product, inflation, current account and budgetary balance as a percentage of gross domestic products. The aim of this article is to verify thehypothesis of differences in predictions using the model of linear trend analysis and bottom-up approach. It was found out that these two types of analyses considerably diverge in their results.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2015

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

WSEAS Transaction on Business and Economics

ISSN

1109-9526

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

11

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

GR - Řecká republika

Počet stran výsledku

13

Strana od-do

173-185

Kód UT WoS článku

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EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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