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Home Team Advantage in English Premier League

Identifikátory výsledku

  • Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F49777513%3A23520%2F17%3A43932173" target="_blank" >RIV/49777513:23520/17:43932173 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Výsledek na webu

    <a href="http://hdl.handle.net/11025/29227" target="_blank" >http://hdl.handle.net/11025/29227</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternativní jazyky

  • Jazyk výsledku

    angličtina

  • Název v původním jazyce

    Home Team Advantage in English Premier League

  • Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

    The home team advantage in association football is a well known phenomenon. The aim of this study is to offer a different view on the home team advantage. Usually, in association football, each two teams – team A and team B – play twice in a season. Once as a home team and once as a visiting team. This offers two results between teams A and B which are combined together to evaluate whether the team A against its opponent B recorded a result at the home field – in comparison to the away field – that is better, even, or worse. This leads to a random variable with three possible outcomes, i.e. trinomial distribution. Combination and comparison of home and away results of the same two teams is the key to eliminate problems with different strength of teams in the league. Using a uniform distribution as a prior we obtain a Dirichlet distribution as a posterior. This is later used to determine point and interval estimates of unknown parameters of the source trinomial distribution, i.e. the probability that the result at home will be better, even, or worse. Moreover, it is possible to test a hypothesis that the home team advantage for a selected team is statistically significant. This approach can be used to construct a measure of the home team advantage for a single team. Described procedure is demonstrated on English Premier League results from the 1992/1993 season to the 2015/2016 season.

  • Název v anglickém jazyce

    Home Team Advantage in English Premier League

  • Popis výsledku anglicky

    The home team advantage in association football is a well known phenomenon. The aim of this study is to offer a different view on the home team advantage. Usually, in association football, each two teams – team A and team B – play twice in a season. Once as a home team and once as a visiting team. This offers two results between teams A and B which are combined together to evaluate whether the team A against its opponent B recorded a result at the home field – in comparison to the away field – that is better, even, or worse. This leads to a random variable with three possible outcomes, i.e. trinomial distribution. Combination and comparison of home and away results of the same two teams is the key to eliminate problems with different strength of teams in the league. Using a uniform distribution as a prior we obtain a Dirichlet distribution as a posterior. This is later used to determine point and interval estimates of unknown parameters of the source trinomial distribution, i.e. the probability that the result at home will be better, even, or worse. Moreover, it is possible to test a hypothesis that the home team advantage for a selected team is statistically significant. This approach can be used to construct a measure of the home team advantage for a single team. Described procedure is demonstrated on English Premier League results from the 1992/1993 season to the 2015/2016 season.

Klasifikace

  • Druh

    O - Ostatní výsledky

  • CEP obor

  • OECD FORD obor

    10103 - Statistics and probability

Návaznosti výsledku

  • Projekt

  • Návaznosti

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Ostatní

  • Rok uplatnění

    2017

  • Kód důvěrnosti údajů

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů