Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60077344%3A_____%2F22%3A00559305" target="_blank" >RIV/60077344:_____/22:00559305 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/67985998:_____/22:00559305 RIV/67985807:_____/22:00559305 RIV/67985556:_____/22:00559305 RIV/60076658:12310/22:43904744 a 3 dalších

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5" target="_blank" >10.1007/s11538-022-01031-5</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Delays, Masks, the Elderly, and Schools: First Covid-19 Wave in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku anglicky

Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

30302 - Epidemiology

Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology

ISSN

0092-8240

e-ISSN

1522-9602

Svazek periodika

84

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

8

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

25

Strana od-do

75

Kód UT WoS článku

000813728300001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85132189903