Back to the future: Climate change effects on habitat suitability of Parnassius apollo throughout the Quaternary glacial cycles
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60077344%3A_____%2F23%3A00564939" target="_blank" >RIV/60077344:_____/23:00564939 - isvavai.cz</a>
Nalezeny alternativní kódy
RIV/67985939:_____/23:00564939 RIV/60076658:12310/23:43906447
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/icad.12615" target="_blank" >https://resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/icad.12615</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/icad.12615" target="_blank" >10.1111/icad.12615</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
Back to the future: Climate change effects on habitat suitability of Parnassius apollo throughout the Quaternary glacial cycles
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
1.Alpine grasslands above the treeline are severely threatened by climate change, mainly due to forest expansion driven by warmer conditions. Analogous lowland grasslands experience severe reductions due to land-use abandonment and forest encroachment.n2.To address how climate change impacted open-areas insects, we used Parnassius apollo as a model, a butterfly with wide Palearctic distribution inhabiting both alpine and low-altitude steppe grasslands. We modelled upper Pleistocene range changes from the Last Interglacial (130 Kya) to the present and future (2050/2070), using medium and high greenhouse gas emission rates for the latter.n3.We combined bioclimatic variables (Worldclim, Paleoclim, Chelsa) with distribution records of P. apollo and two of its most often used larval host plants (Sedum album, Hylotelephium telephium) to formulate species distribution models (SDMs) via the Maximum entropy method.n4.We estimated a substantial range expansion during cold periods (last glacial maximum, 22 Kya) and contractions in warmer periods. Including the host plants in the models brought reduced suitable areas estimate, possibly due to differences in climatic requirements of hosts and the butterfly. Future projections of the extent of suitable climates are surprisingly better than would be expected from a warming climate, likely because the current distribution, especially at lower elevations, is probably restricted by habitat loss due to land abandonment and afforestation.n5.We recommend preventing afforestation in critical habitats across Europe and Asia, and increasing survey activities to perform more accurate SDMs.
Název v anglickém jazyce
Back to the future: Climate change effects on habitat suitability of Parnassius apollo throughout the Quaternary glacial cycles
Popis výsledku anglicky
1.Alpine grasslands above the treeline are severely threatened by climate change, mainly due to forest expansion driven by warmer conditions. Analogous lowland grasslands experience severe reductions due to land-use abandonment and forest encroachment.n2.To address how climate change impacted open-areas insects, we used Parnassius apollo as a model, a butterfly with wide Palearctic distribution inhabiting both alpine and low-altitude steppe grasslands. We modelled upper Pleistocene range changes from the Last Interglacial (130 Kya) to the present and future (2050/2070), using medium and high greenhouse gas emission rates for the latter.n3.We combined bioclimatic variables (Worldclim, Paleoclim, Chelsa) with distribution records of P. apollo and two of its most often used larval host plants (Sedum album, Hylotelephium telephium) to formulate species distribution models (SDMs) via the Maximum entropy method.n4.We estimated a substantial range expansion during cold periods (last glacial maximum, 22 Kya) and contractions in warmer periods. Including the host plants in the models brought reduced suitable areas estimate, possibly due to differences in climatic requirements of hosts and the butterfly. Future projections of the extent of suitable climates are surprisingly better than would be expected from a warming climate, likely because the current distribution, especially at lower elevations, is probably restricted by habitat loss due to land abandonment and afforestation.n5.We recommend preventing afforestation in critical habitats across Europe and Asia, and increasing survey activities to perform more accurate SDMs.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
10619 - Biodiversity conservation
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
<a href="/cs/project/SS01010526" target="_blank" >SS01010526: Mitigace důsledků globální klimatické změny na denní motýly zahrnuté do Směrnice o stanovištích EU</a><br>
Návaznosti
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2023
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
Insect Conservation and Diversity
ISSN
1752-458X
e-ISSN
1752-4598
Svazek periodika
16
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
2
Stát vydavatele periodika
US - Spojené státy americké
Počet stran výsledku
12
Strana od-do
231-242
Kód UT WoS článku
000891183800001
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85142883079