Military Technology Evolution Assessment under Growing Uncertainty and Complexity: Methodological Framework for Alternative Futures

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG38__%2F17%3A00534247" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G38__/17:00534247 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844" target="_blank" >10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988844</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Military Technology Evolution Assessment under Growing Uncertainty and Complexity: Methodological Framework for Alternative Futures

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper offers a systematic and rigorous methodological framework for alternative futures development under growing uncertainty and complexity. It focuses on the area of military technology evolution with focus on cybernetics and robotic systems. Effectiveness of defense management is significantly constrained by its ability to predict evolution of our strategic environment, assess its impact on decision making and poses thoughtful questions about the possible consequences of current and possible future trends. It can embrace answers to following questions: What armed forces will be needed in the years ahead? What eventualities must we be prepared to contend with? What are our options? In what direction will cybernetics and robotic systems evolve and influence capability development and future conduct of operations? Of course, there are lot more questions we need to answer, albeit the future is uncertain. Obviously, we must be able to adapt our military organizations to the ever evolving environment embracing also technological advances. Alternative futures methodology aspires to become one of the instruments that will help all stakeholder to visualize futures that could plausibly emerge, depending on how current developments continue to evolve.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Military Technology Evolution Assessment under Growing Uncertainty and Complexity: Methodological Framework for Alternative Futures

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper offers a systematic and rigorous methodological framework for alternative futures development under growing uncertainty and complexity. It focuses on the area of military technology evolution with focus on cybernetics and robotic systems. Effectiveness of defense management is significantly constrained by its ability to predict evolution of our strategic environment, assess its impact on decision making and poses thoughtful questions about the possible consequences of current and possible future trends. It can embrace answers to following questions: What armed forces will be needed in the years ahead? What eventualities must we be prepared to contend with? What are our options? In what direction will cybernetics and robotic systems evolve and influence capability development and future conduct of operations? Of course, there are lot more questions we need to answer, albeit the future is uncertain. Obviously, we must be able to adapt our military organizations to the ever evolving environment embracing also technological advances. Alternative futures methodology aspires to become one of the instruments that will help all stakeholder to visualize futures that could plausibly emerge, depending on how current developments continue to evolve.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50902 - Social sciences, interdisciplinary

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2017

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference on Military Technologies

ISBN

978-1-5386-1988-9

ISSN

—

e-ISSN

—

Počet stran výsledku

8

Strana od-do

682-689

Název nakladatele

Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.

Místo vydání

Piscataway, NJ 08854-4141 USA

Místo konání akce

Brno

Datum konání akce

31. 5. 2017

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

—