Weaponizing Civilians: Disrupting Strategic Mobility and Logistics

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG38__%2F26%3A00565928" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G38__/26:00565928 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://connections-qj.org/article/weaponizing-civilians-disrupting-strategic-mobility-and-logistics" target="_blank" >https://connections-qj.org/article/weaponizing-civilians-disrupting-strategic-mobility-and-logistics</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11610/Connections.23.3.07" target="_blank" >10.11610/Connections.23.3.07</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Weaponizing Civilians: Disrupting Strategic Mobility and Logistics

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Strategic movement of forces and their sustainment often de-pend on civilian infrastructure (ports, airports, railways, and road net-works). During developing crises, potential adversaries could exploit seams between military and civilian authorities and use civilians to restrict, delay, or completely prevent the movement of forces and disrupt supply chains. This can be achieved indirectly, by exploiting the information environment, or directly, for instance, by inserting agitators into crowds. Many civilians, especially vulnerable groups, appear susceptible to disinformation and ma-nipulation, creating opportunities for adversaries to use them in pursuit of specific interests. However, civilians’ legal rights and entitlements, partic-ularly those enshrined under international humanitarian law, impose re-strictions on Western militaries in coping with such situations. From NATO’s perspective, this could further encourage adversaries to exploit these approaches. The article provides several case studies from different countries where civilians have disrupted military power projection. It then outlines seven hypothetical scenarios in which adversaries exploit civilians to counter the logistics and mobility of military forces. The methodological framework for developing plausible future scenarios involves drawing on past events while also leveraging creativity in future considerations, including techno-logical advances combined with human inventiveness. This approach ena-bled the authors to consider possible future developments and threats in terms of weaponizing civilians to contest military mobility. The findings presented in this article provide incentives for testing military resilience in wargame scenarios and exercises simulating disruptions to strategic mo-bility and logistics.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Weaponizing Civilians: Disrupting Strategic Mobility and Logistics

Popis výsledku anglicky

Strategic movement of forces and their sustainment often de-pend on civilian infrastructure (ports, airports, railways, and road net-works). During developing crises, potential adversaries could exploit seams between military and civilian authorities and use civilians to restrict, delay, or completely prevent the movement of forces and disrupt supply chains. This can be achieved indirectly, by exploiting the information environment, or directly, for instance, by inserting agitators into crowds. Many civilians, especially vulnerable groups, appear susceptible to disinformation and ma-nipulation, creating opportunities for adversaries to use them in pursuit of specific interests. However, civilians’ legal rights and entitlements, partic-ularly those enshrined under international humanitarian law, impose re-strictions on Western militaries in coping with such situations. From NATO’s perspective, this could further encourage adversaries to exploit these approaches. The article provides several case studies from different countries where civilians have disrupted military power projection. It then outlines seven hypothetical scenarios in which adversaries exploit civilians to counter the logistics and mobility of military forces. The methodological framework for developing plausible future scenarios involves drawing on past events while also leveraging creativity in future considerations, including techno-logical advances combined with human inventiveness. This approach ena-bled the authors to consider possible future developments and threats in terms of weaponizing civilians to contest military mobility. The findings presented in this article provide incentives for testing military resilience in wargame scenarios and exercises simulating disruptions to strategic mo-bility and logistics.

Druh

J_SC - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50600 - Political science

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Connections: The Quarterly Journal

ISSN

1812-1098

e-ISSN

1812-2973

Svazek periodika

23

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

22

Strana od-do

123-144

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-105021923251