The Connection between the Risk of Terrorism and Its Economic and Political Determinants, Analysis, and Application for Forecasting
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F24%3A00558211" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/24:00558211 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/fdas20" target="_blank" >https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/fdas20</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17419166.2022.2097075" target="_blank" >10.1080/17419166.2022.2097075</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
The Connection between the Risk of Terrorism and Its Economic and Political Determinants, Analysis, and Application for Forecasting
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
The paper is focused on studying the relationship between the risk of terrorism and economic and political development of 13 European countries, quantified using a set of socio-economic and political indicator variables. Numbers of terrorist attacks are used as a terrorist activity indicator. A method of categorisation of the numbers of terrorist attacks into a level of risk of terrorism index is presented. Proportional odds multinomial logit generalised linear model is used to describe the connection between the level of risk and the socio-economic and political indicator variables. The presented findings imply that the connection is significant for 9 out of the 13 studied countries. Furthermore, a possible application of the model for obtaining short time predictions of the probability of the levels of risk is presented using a real data set.
Název v anglickém jazyce
The Connection between the Risk of Terrorism and Its Economic and Political Determinants, Analysis, and Application for Forecasting
Popis výsledku anglicky
The paper is focused on studying the relationship between the risk of terrorism and economic and political development of 13 European countries, quantified using a set of socio-economic and political indicator variables. Numbers of terrorist attacks are used as a terrorist activity indicator. A method of categorisation of the numbers of terrorist attacks into a level of risk of terrorism index is presented. Proportional odds multinomial logit generalised linear model is used to describe the connection between the level of risk and the socio-economic and political indicator variables. The presented findings imply that the connection is significant for 9 out of the 13 studied countries. Furthermore, a possible application of the model for obtaining short time predictions of the probability of the levels of risk is presented using a real data set.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
50601 - Political science
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
—
Návaznosti
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2023
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
DEMOCRACY & SECURITY
ISSN
1555-5860
e-ISSN
1741-9166
Svazek periodika
19
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
1
Stát vydavatele periodika
GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska
Počet stran výsledku
30
Strana od-do
28-57
Kód UT WoS článku
000822303900001
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85133659686