GAM Modelling of Daily Number of Traffic Accidents as a Function of Meteorological Variables in the Czech Republic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F26%3A00564672" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/26:00564672 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://ejobsat.cz/artkey/ejo-202501-0007_gam-modelling-of-daily-number-of-traffic-accidents-as-a-function-of-meteorological-variables-in-the-czech-repub.php" target="_blank" >https://ejobsat.cz/artkey/ejo-202501-0007_gam-modelling-of-daily-number-of-traffic-accidents-as-a-function-of-meteorological-variables-in-the-czech-repub.php</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/ejobsat.2024.014" target="_blank" >10.11118/ejobsat.2024.014</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

GAM Modelling of Daily Number of Traffic Accidents as a Function of Meteorological Variables in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Meteorological conditions exert a considerable influence on traffic patterns. This paper examines the influence of meteorological variables on the daily number of traffic accidents requiring fire brigade intervention. The influence of meteorological variables, including maximum temperature, wind speed, air pressure, precipitation, snow cover and sunshine, was examined. A Generalized Additive Model for variables with a Poisson distribution was employed for modelling purposes, as this allows for the representation of non-linear dependencies. The analysis demonstrates that the lowest incidence of accidents occurs at temperatures approximating 10 °C. The average daily number of accidents increases with windy weather, the minimum number of accidents occurs at zero precipitation, and the accident rate rises with higher levels of sunshine. In the Czech Republic, the period of greatest risk in terms of road traffic accidents is the summer and winter months. The findings may have several practical applications, for example, in the improvement of meteorological warnings in traffic.

Název v anglickém jazyce

GAM Modelling of Daily Number of Traffic Accidents as a Function of Meteorological Variables in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku anglicky

Meteorological conditions exert a considerable influence on traffic patterns. This paper examines the influence of meteorological variables on the daily number of traffic accidents requiring fire brigade intervention. The influence of meteorological variables, including maximum temperature, wind speed, air pressure, precipitation, snow cover and sunshine, was examined. A Generalized Additive Model for variables with a Poisson distribution was employed for modelling purposes, as this allows for the representation of non-linear dependencies. The analysis demonstrates that the lowest incidence of accidents occurs at temperatures approximating 10 °C. The average daily number of accidents increases with windy weather, the minimum number of accidents occurs at zero precipitation, and the accident rate rises with higher levels of sunshine. In the Czech Republic, the period of greatest risk in terms of road traffic accidents is the summer and winter months. The findings may have several practical applications, for example, in the improvement of meteorological warnings in traffic.

Druh

J_SC - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10103 - Statistics and probability

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

European Journal of Business Science and Technology

ISSN

2336-6494

e-ISSN

2694-7161

Svazek periodika

11

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

16

Strana od-do

23-38

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-105011093219