Application of aging chain model on demographical data of the Czech Republic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

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Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Application of aging chain model on demographical data of the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Paper deals with the design of dynamic aging chain model of Czech Republic. Population aging chains are necessary for different kinds of system dynamics models that focus on socioeconomic problems. Aging chain structure commonly consists of stock variables for age cohorts and flow variables for aging, births, deaths and migration. The basis of such computer simulation model that is based on system dynamics methodology is the system of nonlinear first-order differential equations. In the first part, we will present three different aging chains quantified on the basis of current demographical data. Each chain is divided into two separate chains, one for each gender. Chains differ in the level of age groups aggregation and in the type of delay that is used to model the aging between age cohorts. Also two different approaches to represent changes in childbearing are explained. In second part, each simulation run is compared with official demographical data of the Czech Statistical

Název v anglickém jazyce

Application of aging chain model on demographical data of the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku anglicky

Paper deals with the design of dynamic aging chain model of Czech Republic. Population aging chains are necessary for different kinds of system dynamics models that focus on socioeconomic problems. Aging chain structure commonly consists of stock variables for age cohorts and flow variables for aging, births, deaths and migration. The basis of such computer simulation model that is based on system dynamics methodology is the system of nonlinear first-order differential equations. In the first part, we will present three different aging chains quantified on the basis of current demographical data. Each chain is divided into two separate chains, one for each gender. Chains differ in the level of age groups aggregation and in the type of delay that is used to model the aging between age cohorts. Also two different approaches to represent changes in childbearing are explained. In second part, each simulation run is compared with official demographical data of the Czech Statistical

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2012

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Proceedings of 30th International Conference Mathematical methods in economics

ISBN

978-80-7248-779-0

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

6

Strana od-do

467-472

Název nakladatele

Silesian University

Místo vydání

Karviná

Místo konání akce

Karviná

Datum konání akce

11. 9. 2012

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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