CHANGING THE WORLD WITH MODELS AND SIMULATIONS: MITIGATING GLOBAL WARMING, PLASTICS POLLUTION, MIGRATION CRISES

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41110%2F19%3AN0000097" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41110/19:N0000097 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

CHANGING THE WORLD WITH MODELS AND SIMULATIONS: MITIGATING GLOBAL WARMING, PLASTICS POLLUTION, MIGRATION CRISES

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

"The world seems to become ever more complex, uncertain, and unpredictable, while the problems we need to deal with seem to become bigger and bigger. The latter is partly due to the fact that many smaller challenges have been tackled and that, as a consequence, we now need to tackle the bigger challenges that have not been tackled yet, as well as all those challenges created by “solving” other challenges. Solving problems in a seemingly complex, uncertain, and unpredictable world requires the ability to think systematically and systemically without overly reducing complexity. Without methods, techniques and tools for doing so, this is very hard to do. Luckily, methods, techniques and tools for doing so exist and are not very hard to acquire. Some of these methods have been around for a long time. For example, Systems Dynamics modelling, which enables one to deal with dynamic complexity, has been around since the late 1950s. Back then it was used in an aggregated manner to look at the overall system (e.g., modelling the entire world as one as in the Limits to Growth studies), and without dealing with many (sorts of) uncertainties. Today, detailed geo-spatial characteristics and multiple scales can be dealt with in System Dynamics modelling and System Dynamics models can be simulated across large uncertainty spaces to find robust policies. This means it can be used to model and simulate many complex issues and grand challenges and find/test solutions even in the face of deep uncertainty. In my talk, I will show you what is possible today. Doing so, I will talk about several grand challenges, including migration, energy transitions, plastics pollution, and circular economies. In the works shops, I will teach you how to do this yourself. In the first workshop: I will teach you how to make systems models. In this workshop, we will jointly develop and use migration models. In the second workshop, I will teach the participants how to make and use data-rich multi-scale hybrid systems modelling and simulate such models under deep uncertainty to find robust policies. Examples used in the second workshop predominantly relate to population dynamics and energy transitions. dr. Erik Pruyt, Technical University Delft, founder of the Center of Policy Exploration Analysis and Simulation "

Název v anglickém jazyce

CHANGING THE WORLD WITH MODELS AND SIMULATIONS: MITIGATING GLOBAL WARMING, PLASTICS POLLUTION, MIGRATION CRISES

Popis výsledku anglicky

"The world seems to become ever more complex, uncertain, and unpredictable, while the problems we need to deal with seem to become bigger and bigger. The latter is partly due to the fact that many smaller challenges have been tackled and that, as a consequence, we now need to tackle the bigger challenges that have not been tackled yet, as well as all those challenges created by “solving” other challenges. Solving problems in a seemingly complex, uncertain, and unpredictable world requires the ability to think systematically and systemically without overly reducing complexity. Without methods, techniques and tools for doing so, this is very hard to do. Luckily, methods, techniques and tools for doing so exist and are not very hard to acquire. Some of these methods have been around for a long time. For example, Systems Dynamics modelling, which enables one to deal with dynamic complexity, has been around since the late 1950s. Back then it was used in an aggregated manner to look at the overall system (e.g., modelling the entire world as one as in the Limits to Growth studies), and without dealing with many (sorts of) uncertainties. Today, detailed geo-spatial characteristics and multiple scales can be dealt with in System Dynamics modelling and System Dynamics models can be simulated across large uncertainty spaces to find robust policies. This means it can be used to model and simulate many complex issues and grand challenges and find/test solutions even in the face of deep uncertainty. In my talk, I will show you what is possible today. Doing so, I will talk about several grand challenges, including migration, energy transitions, plastics pollution, and circular economies. In the works shops, I will teach you how to do this yourself. In the first workshop: I will teach you how to make systems models. In this workshop, we will jointly develop and use migration models. In the second workshop, I will teach the participants how to make and use data-rich multi-scale hybrid systems modelling and simulate such models under deep uncertainty to find robust policies. Examples used in the second workshop predominantly relate to population dynamics and energy transitions. dr. Erik Pruyt, Technical University Delft, founder of the Center of Policy Exploration Analysis and Simulation "

Druh

W - Uspořádání workshopu

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Projekt

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Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2019

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Místo konání akce

Praha

Stát konání akce

CZ - Česká republika

Datum zahájení akce

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Datum ukončení akce

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Celkový počet účastníků

19

Počet zahraničních účastníků

4

Typ akce podle státní přísl. účastníků

CST - Celostátní akce