Multi-decade patterns of gypsy moth fluctuations in the Carpathian Mountains and options for outbreak forecasting

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F16%3A68538" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/16:68538 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10340-015-0694-7" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10340-015-0694-7</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10340-015-0694-7" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10340-015-0694-7</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Multi-decade patterns of gypsy moth fluctuations in the Carpathian Mountains and options for outbreak forecasting

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The gypsy moth is the most important defoliator of broadleaved forests in the Northern Hemisphere. We explored the patterns in the moths long-term dynamics and produced outbreak forecasts for seven countries located in central to southeastern Europe and extending into the Carpathian Mountains. We investigated how the outbreak periods and trends in the size of outbreak areas differ among the countries, the extent to which pest dynamics are synchronized, and how the observed patterns can be used to forecast outbreaks. We used long-term time series on outbreaks from about 1947 to 2013. The outbreak period ranged from 13 years in the northwest to 8 years in the southeast of the region, the periods were statistically significant in six of the seven countries. Two distinct patterns in outbreak size were observed, i.e. while outbreak areas in the northwest were increasing, exceptionally large outbreaks occasionally occurred in the southeastern part of the region. Outbreak forecasts based on combined use of

Název v anglickém jazyce

Multi-decade patterns of gypsy moth fluctuations in the Carpathian Mountains and options for outbreak forecasting

Popis výsledku anglicky

The gypsy moth is the most important defoliator of broadleaved forests in the Northern Hemisphere. We explored the patterns in the moths long-term dynamics and produced outbreak forecasts for seven countries located in central to southeastern Europe and extending into the Carpathian Mountains. We investigated how the outbreak periods and trends in the size of outbreak areas differ among the countries, the extent to which pest dynamics are synchronized, and how the observed patterns can be used to forecast outbreaks. We used long-term time series on outbreaks from about 1947 to 2013. The outbreak period ranged from 13 years in the northwest to 8 years in the southeast of the region, the periods were statistically significant in six of the seven countries. Two distinct patterns in outbreak size were observed, i.e. while outbreak areas in the northwest were increasing, exceptionally large outbreaks occasionally occurred in the southeastern part of the region. Outbreak forecasts based on combined use of

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

GK - Lesnictví

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/QJ1220316" target="_blank" >QJ1220316: Hodnocení očekávaných změn v růstu a mortalitě lesních porostů, dopadů na produkční funkci lesů ČR a návrh adaptační stratégie</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Journal of Pest Science

ISSN

1612-4758

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

89

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

13

Strana od-do

413-425

Kód UT WoS článku

000376923400010

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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