Considering unseen arrivals in predictions of establishment risk based on border biosecurity interceptions

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F20%3A84629" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/20:84629 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/eap.2194" target="_blank" >https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/eap.2194</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/eap.2194" target="_blank" >10.1002/eap.2194</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Considering unseen arrivals in predictions of establishment risk based on border biosecurity interceptions

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Assessing species establishment risk is an important task used for informing biosecurity activities aimed at preventing biological invasions. Propagule pressure is a major contributor to the probability of invading species establishment, however, direct assessment of numbers of individuals arriving is virtually never possible. Inspections conducted at borders by biosecurity officials record counts of species (or higher-level taxa) intercepted during inspections, which can be used as proxies for arrival rates. Such data may therefore be useful for predicting species establishments, though some species may establish despite never being intercepted. We present a stochastic process-based model of the arrival-interception-establishment process to predict species establishment risk from interception count data. The model can be used to estimate the probability of establishment, both for species that were intercepted and species that had no interceptions during a given observation period. We fit the stochas

Název v anglickém jazyce

Considering unseen arrivals in predictions of establishment risk based on border biosecurity interceptions

Popis výsledku anglicky

Assessing species establishment risk is an important task used for informing biosecurity activities aimed at preventing biological invasions. Propagule pressure is a major contributor to the probability of invading species establishment, however, direct assessment of numbers of individuals arriving is virtually never possible. Inspections conducted at borders by biosecurity officials record counts of species (or higher-level taxa) intercepted during inspections, which can be used as proxies for arrival rates. Such data may therefore be useful for predicting species establishments, though some species may establish despite never being intercepted. We present a stochastic process-based model of the arrival-interception-establishment process to predict species establishment risk from interception count data. The model can be used to estimate the probability of establishment, both for species that were intercepted and species that had no interceptions during a given observation period. We fit the stochas

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10618 - Ecology

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EF16_019%2F0000803" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000803: Excelentní Výzkum jako podpora Adaptace lesnictví a dřevařství na globální změnu a 4. průmyslovou revoluci</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2020

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

ISSN

1051-0761

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

30

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

8

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

38

Strana od-do

1-38

Kód UT WoS článku

000572168800001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85091389327