A multi-model assessment of climate change impact on hydrological regime in the Czech Republic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F12%3A55468" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/12:55468 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00020711:_____/12:00003639

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

A multi-model assessment of climate change impact on hydrological regime in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

In present paper we assess the climate change impact on mean runoff between the periods 1961?1990 (control period) and 2070?2099 (scenario period) in the Czech Republic. Hydrological balance is modelled with a conceptual hydrological model BILAN at 250 catchments of different sizes and climatic conditions. Climate change scenarios are derived using simple delta approach, i.e. observed series of precipitation, temperature and relative air humidity are perturbed in order to give the same changes between the control and scenario period as in the ensemble of 15 transient regional climate model (RCM) simulations. The parameters of the hydrological model are for each catchment estimated using observed data. These parameters are subsequently used to derive discharge series under climate change conditions for each RCM simulation. Although the differences in the absolute values of the changes in runoff are considerable, robust patterns of changes can be identified. The majority of the scenarios

Název v anglickém jazyce

A multi-model assessment of climate change impact on hydrological regime in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku anglicky

In present paper we assess the climate change impact on mean runoff between the periods 1961?1990 (control period) and 2070?2099 (scenario period) in the Czech Republic. Hydrological balance is modelled with a conceptual hydrological model BILAN at 250 catchments of different sizes and climatic conditions. Climate change scenarios are derived using simple delta approach, i.e. observed series of precipitation, temperature and relative air humidity are perturbed in order to give the same changes between the control and scenario period as in the ensemble of 15 transient regional climate model (RCM) simulations. The parameters of the hydrological model are for each catchment estimated using observed data. These parameters are subsequently used to derive discharge series under climate change conditions for each RCM simulation. Although the differences in the absolute values of the changes in runoff are considerable, robust patterns of changes can be identified. The majority of the scenarios

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

DA - Hydrologie a limnologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/SP%2F1A6%2F108%2F07" target="_blank" >SP/1A6/108/07: Zpřesnění dosavadních odhadů dopadů klimatické změny v sektorech vodního hospodářství, zemědělství a lesnictví a návrhy adaptačních opatření</a><br>

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2012

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

ISSN

0042-790X

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

60

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

10

Strana od-do

152-161

Kód UT WoS článku

000308573100002

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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