Projected changes in Rhine River flood seasonality under global warming

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F21%3A85645" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/21:85645 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/2353/2021/hess-25-2353-2021-discussion.html" target="_blank" >https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/25/2353/2021/hess-25-2353-2021-discussion.html</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-2353-2021" target="_blank" >10.5194/hess-25-2353-2021</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Projected changes in Rhine River flood seasonality under global warming

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Climatic change alters the frequency and intensity of natural hazards. In order to assess potential future changes in flood seasonality in the Rhine River basin, we analyse changes in streamflow, snowmelt, precipitation and evapotranspiration at 1,5, 2,0 and 3,0 degrees C global warming levels. The mesoscale hydrological model (mHM) forced with an ensemble of climate projection scenarios (five general circulation models under three representative concentration pathways) is used to simulate the present and future climate conditions of both pluvial and nival hydrological regimes. Our results indicate that future changes in flood characteristics in the Rhine River basin are controlled by increases in antecedent precipitation and diminishing snowpacks. In the pluvial-type sub-basin of the Moselle River, an increasing flood potential due to increased antecedent precipitation encounters declining snowpacks during winter. The decrease in snowmelt seems to counterbalance increasing precipitation, resultin

Název v anglickém jazyce

Projected changes in Rhine River flood seasonality under global warming

Popis výsledku anglicky

Climatic change alters the frequency and intensity of natural hazards. In order to assess potential future changes in flood seasonality in the Rhine River basin, we analyse changes in streamflow, snowmelt, precipitation and evapotranspiration at 1,5, 2,0 and 3,0 degrees C global warming levels. The mesoscale hydrological model (mHM) forced with an ensemble of climate projection scenarios (five general circulation models under three representative concentration pathways) is used to simulate the present and future climate conditions of both pluvial and nival hydrological regimes. Our results indicate that future changes in flood characteristics in the Rhine River basin are controlled by increases in antecedent precipitation and diminishing snowpacks. In the pluvial-type sub-basin of the Moselle River, an increasing flood potential due to increased antecedent precipitation encounters declining snowpacks during winter. The decrease in snowmelt seems to counterbalance increasing precipitation, resultin

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10503 - Water resources

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

ISSN

1027-5606

e-ISSN

1607-7938

Svazek periodika

25

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

5

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

19

Strana od-do

2353-2371

Kód UT WoS článku

000647360600001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85105377621