Future water demand scenarios to 2050: sectoral analyses and forecasts

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60461373%3A22320%2F24%3A43931258" target="_blank" >RIV/60461373:22320/24:43931258 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/86652079:_____/24:00605658

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.vtei.cz/en/2024/12/future-water-demand-scenarios-to-2050-sectoral-analyses-and-forecasts/" target="_blank" >https://www.vtei.cz/en/2024/12/future-water-demand-scenarios-to-2050-sectoral-analyses-and-forecasts/</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.46555/VTEI.2024.09.001" target="_blank" >10.46555/VTEI.2024.09.001</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Future water demand scenarios to 2050: sectoral analyses and forecasts

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This article presents the results of the sub-objective “Scenarios of future water demands for different climate scenarios and individual sectors of water use” (DC 1.1). Which is part of TA CR project No. SS02030027 “Water systems and water management in the Czech Republic and climate change conditions (Water Centre)” and is a sub-part of the WP 1 “Prediction of the development of water resources security in the Czech Republic until 2050 in regions depending on climate change”. The project was implemented between 2020 and 2024 and involved the following organisations: TGM Water Research Institute (TGM WRI); University of Chemistry and Technology in Prague (UCT); Czech Technical University in Prague (CTU), Faculty of Civil Engineering; CzechGlobe – Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences (CAS); Czech University of Life Sciences in Prague (CZU); and Charles University in Prague, Faculty of Science – as a subcontractor. This article deals with the projection of future water demand up to 2050 through sectoral analyses and forecasts. The solution uses different scenarios that consider factors such as population growth, economic development, climate change, technological advances and policy decisions, and focuses on water demand for the following sectors: agriculture, industry, energy industry, and households. It also assesses the potential impacts of different scenarios on the availability of water resources. The results show that in some regions, depending on the scenario considered, there may be a significant increase in water demand, which could lead to water scarcity and therefore require the implementation of new strategies for efficient water management. Conversely, in some regions, a decline in economic activity and population migration may lead to a reduction in water demand. The paper further describes the potential uncertainties and variables affecting the prediction of future water demand, while highlighting the importance of sectoral analysis for understanding future trends in water management. © 2024 The Author(s).

Název v anglickém jazyce

Future water demand scenarios to 2050: sectoral analyses and forecasts

Popis výsledku anglicky

This article presents the results of the sub-objective “Scenarios of future water demands for different climate scenarios and individual sectors of water use” (DC 1.1). Which is part of TA CR project No. SS02030027 “Water systems and water management in the Czech Republic and climate change conditions (Water Centre)” and is a sub-part of the WP 1 “Prediction of the development of water resources security in the Czech Republic until 2050 in regions depending on climate change”. The project was implemented between 2020 and 2024 and involved the following organisations: TGM Water Research Institute (TGM WRI); University of Chemistry and Technology in Prague (UCT); Czech Technical University in Prague (CTU), Faculty of Civil Engineering; CzechGlobe – Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences (CAS); Czech University of Life Sciences in Prague (CZU); and Charles University in Prague, Faculty of Science – as a subcontractor. This article deals with the projection of future water demand up to 2050 through sectoral analyses and forecasts. The solution uses different scenarios that consider factors such as population growth, economic development, climate change, technological advances and policy decisions, and focuses on water demand for the following sectors: agriculture, industry, energy industry, and households. It also assesses the potential impacts of different scenarios on the availability of water resources. The results show that in some regions, depending on the scenario considered, there may be a significant increase in water demand, which could lead to water scarcity and therefore require the implementation of new strategies for efficient water management. Conversely, in some regions, a decline in economic activity and population migration may lead to a reduction in water demand. The paper further describes the potential uncertainties and variables affecting the prediction of future water demand, while highlighting the importance of sectoral analysis for understanding future trends in water management. © 2024 The Author(s).

Druh

J_SC - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10503 - Water resources

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/SS02030027" target="_blank" >SS02030027: Vodní systémy a vodní hospodářství v ČR v podmínkách změny klimatu</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Vodohospodarske Technicko-Ekonomicke Informace

ISSN

0322-8916

e-ISSN

1805-6555

Svazek periodika

66

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

6

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

20

Strana od-do

26-45

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85212471971