Model estimation of potential infestation pressure of Codling Moth (Cydia pomonella) in condition of changing climate in Slovakia

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

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Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://is.mendelu.cz/dok_server/slozka.pl?id=93694;lang=cz" target="_blank" >https://is.mendelu.cz/dok_server/slozka.pl?id=93694;lang=cz</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Model estimation of potential infestation pressure of Codling Moth (Cydia pomonella) in condition of changing climate in Slovakia

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The occurrence of Codling Moth (Cydia pomonella) was estimated on the basis of meteorological data from Climatological Station Network of Slovak republic using CLIMEX model. The conditions of climate change were simulated according to GCM ARPEGE and SRES scenario A1B for three time intervals: 1961-1990, 2021-2050 and 2071-2100. Spatial changes of potential codling moth distribution were estimated using GIS application. As concerning number of generations, during reference period 1961-1990 and period 2021-2050, there were conditions suitable for one generation development. However, during time period 2071-2100, the area where second generation could occur increased to 38% and at 11% of area third generation could occur potentially. For both future time periods, the widening of area affected by codling moth was predicted. During time period 2071-2100 the area with potential occurrence of codling moth increases to 43% comparing to 25% area affected by the moth during the reference period.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Model estimation of potential infestation pressure of Codling Moth (Cydia pomonella) in condition of changing climate in Slovakia

Popis výsledku anglicky

The occurrence of Codling Moth (Cydia pomonella) was estimated on the basis of meteorological data from Climatological Station Network of Slovak republic using CLIMEX model. The conditions of climate change were simulated according to GCM ARPEGE and SRES scenario A1B for three time intervals: 1961-1990, 2021-2050 and 2071-2100. Spatial changes of potential codling moth distribution were estimated using GIS application. As concerning number of generations, during reference period 1961-1990 and period 2021-2050, there were conditions suitable for one generation development. However, during time period 2071-2100, the area where second generation could occur increased to 38% and at 11% of area third generation could occur potentially. For both future time periods, the widening of area affected by codling moth was predicted. During time period 2071-2100 the area with potential occurrence of codling moth increases to 43% comparing to 25% area affected by the moth during the reference period.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Mendel and Bioclimatology: Conference Proceedings

ISBN

978-80-7509-397-4

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

7

Strana od-do

418-424

Název nakladatele

Mendelova univerzita v Brně

Místo vydání

Brno

Místo konání akce

Brno

Datum konání akce

3. 9. 2014

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000382229900045