Analysis of external influences on agricultural performance in Nigeria

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43310%2F16%3A43909865" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43310/16:43909865 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.11118/actaun201664051805" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.11118/actaun201664051805</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201664051805" target="_blank" >10.11118/actaun201664051805</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Analysis of external influences on agricultural performance in Nigeria

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The persistent slump in crude oil prices on the world market has drastically reduced government revenues, weakened currencies, and threatened growth and development of countries such as Nigeria that are heavily dependent on petroleum as a source of government earnings. Therefore, it has become imperative for the government to look beyond oil, notably agriculture to survive the present shocks. Given that agriculture is the largest non-oil export in Nigeria, this paper assesses the general performance of agriculture in the country. The article also verifies the relationship between trade, external financial flows and agricultural performance in the country, using Granger causality, IRF and VDA as well as descriptive approaches. The Granger test results reveal a unidirectional causality running from imports, openness, world prices of primary agrarian products, agricultural ODA to agricultural performance in Nigeria. The VDA results also show that a shock to agricultural exports, imports and openness can contribute to the fluctuation in the variance of agricultural performance in the country. The response of agricultural import to production records negative in almost all the periods investigated. This suggests that a substantial import in Nigeria might have hurt agricultural production in the country. The government of Nigeria should as a matter of urgency, invest heavily in agricultural production and encourage producers for domestic value added for local consumption and export. Also, more FDI and ODA should be channelled to agricultural related activities in the country. Domestic producers and exporters should be protected against foreign competitors in some commodities that can be produced cheaply at home.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Analysis of external influences on agricultural performance in Nigeria

Popis výsledku anglicky

The persistent slump in crude oil prices on the world market has drastically reduced government revenues, weakened currencies, and threatened growth and development of countries such as Nigeria that are heavily dependent on petroleum as a source of government earnings. Therefore, it has become imperative for the government to look beyond oil, notably agriculture to survive the present shocks. Given that agriculture is the largest non-oil export in Nigeria, this paper assesses the general performance of agriculture in the country. The article also verifies the relationship between trade, external financial flows and agricultural performance in the country, using Granger causality, IRF and VDA as well as descriptive approaches. The Granger test results reveal a unidirectional causality running from imports, openness, world prices of primary agrarian products, agricultural ODA to agricultural performance in Nigeria. The VDA results also show that a shock to agricultural exports, imports and openness can contribute to the fluctuation in the variance of agricultural performance in the country. The response of agricultural import to production records negative in almost all the periods investigated. This suggests that a substantial import in Nigeria might have hurt agricultural production in the country. The government of Nigeria should as a matter of urgency, invest heavily in agricultural production and encourage producers for domestic value added for local consumption and export. Also, more FDI and ODA should be channelled to agricultural related activities in the country. Domestic producers and exporters should be protected against foreign competitors in some commodities that can be produced cheaply at home.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

GA - Zemědělská ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis

ISSN

1211-8516

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

64

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

5

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

17

Strana od-do

1805-1821

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-84994481777