Trade or trap? The impact of EU trade policies on South Africa's agri-food exports

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43310%2F25%3A43926957" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43310/25:43926957 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/03031853.2025.2489934" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1080/03031853.2025.2489934</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03031853.2025.2489934" target="_blank" >10.1080/03031853.2025.2489934</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Trade or trap? The impact of EU trade policies on South Africa's agri-food exports

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper investigates the potential negative impact of the European Union&apos;s (EU) agri-food import practices on the competitiveness of South Africa&apos;s agricultural sector by applying the Constant Market Share (CMS) model to a 20-year dataset in the context of trade liberalisation and the slowdown in global value chain activity on agri-food trade. This study is the first to utilise the CMS model over an extended period to assess the competitiveness of South African agri-food exports to the EU. We categorise agri-food products into bulk commodities, processed intermediate goods, horticultural products, and consumer-ready goods. While South African agri-food exports responded to changes in EU market demand, they were concentrated in slower-growing markets and commodities with below-average growth rates. Although competitive in certain niches, South African agri-food exports were generally not competitive over the long term. The decline in the EU&apos;s agri-food imports from South Africa, despite trade agreements, suggests a persistent negative trend without strategic intervention. We recommend that South Africa focus on exporting high-demand commodities to rapidly growing EU markets and invest in priority areas to enhance competitiveness.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Trade or trap? The impact of EU trade policies on South Africa's agri-food exports

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper investigates the potential negative impact of the European Union&apos;s (EU) agri-food import practices on the competitiveness of South Africa&apos;s agricultural sector by applying the Constant Market Share (CMS) model to a 20-year dataset in the context of trade liberalisation and the slowdown in global value chain activity on agri-food trade. This study is the first to utilise the CMS model over an extended period to assess the competitiveness of South African agri-food exports to the EU. We categorise agri-food products into bulk commodities, processed intermediate goods, horticultural products, and consumer-ready goods. While South African agri-food exports responded to changes in EU market demand, they were concentrated in slower-growing markets and commodities with below-average growth rates. Although competitive in certain niches, South African agri-food exports were generally not competitive over the long term. The decline in the EU&apos;s agri-food imports from South Africa, despite trade agreements, suggests a persistent negative trend without strategic intervention. We recommend that South Africa focus on exporting high-demand commodities to rapidly growing EU markets and invest in priority areas to enhance competitiveness.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50203 - Industrial relations

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Agrekon

ISSN

0303-1853

e-ISSN

2078-0400

Svazek periodika

64

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

17

Strana od-do

200-216

Kód UT WoS článku

001472278700001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-105003163565