Environmental Modelling of Climate Change Impact on Grapevines: Case Study from the Czech Republic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43410%2F17%3A43913035" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43410/17:43913035 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/68407700:21260/17:00315489

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/68886" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/68886</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/68886" target="_blank" >10.15244/pjoes/68886</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Environmental Modelling of Climate Change Impact on Grapevines: Case Study from the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Predicted climate change can significantly affect ecosystem services in agricultural landscapes. Possibilities of predicting climate change effects on growing conditions of crops are therefore sought for practical reasons. The aim of the present study is to contribute to the current discussions about the impact of climate change on agriculture. The case study from the Czech Republic presents methods and results of environmental modelling of the impact of predicted climatic changes on future conditions for growing grapevines. The model is based on the ecological relationship between climate and vegetation zonation of the landscape and thus belongs to the group of process biogeographic models applicable on a regional scale. The results of the presented model show significant enlargement of areas climatically suitable for growing grapes within the studied area. The results of the model relevant to the Czech Republic are in line with the previous assumptions of trends in future impacts of climate change on viticulture in Europe. However, the data resulting from the presented model, which relate to the time horizon beyond 2050, should be regarded as indicative and fraught with a high degree of uncertainty linked with the uncertainty of the input climatological prediction for this time period.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Environmental Modelling of Climate Change Impact on Grapevines: Case Study from the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku anglicky

Predicted climate change can significantly affect ecosystem services in agricultural landscapes. Possibilities of predicting climate change effects on growing conditions of crops are therefore sought for practical reasons. The aim of the present study is to contribute to the current discussions about the impact of climate change on agriculture. The case study from the Czech Republic presents methods and results of environmental modelling of the impact of predicted climatic changes on future conditions for growing grapevines. The model is based on the ecological relationship between climate and vegetation zonation of the landscape and thus belongs to the group of process biogeographic models applicable on a regional scale. The results of the presented model show significant enlargement of areas climatically suitable for growing grapes within the studied area. The results of the model relevant to the Czech Republic are in line with the previous assumptions of trends in future impacts of climate change on viticulture in Europe. However, the data resulting from the presented model, which relate to the time horizon beyond 2050, should be regarded as indicative and fraught with a high degree of uncertainty linked with the uncertainty of the input climatological prediction for this time period.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EE2.4.31.0032" target="_blank" >EE2.4.31.0032: Platforma pro spolupráci v oblasti formování krajiny</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2017

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Polish Journal of Environmental Studies

ISSN

1230-1485

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

26

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

4

Stát vydavatele periodika

PL - Polská republika

Počet stran výsledku

7

Strana od-do

1927-1933

Kód UT WoS článku

000408078000050

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85029657294