Do We Need More Fire Protection Units as an Impact of Population Aging and Industry 4.0 in the Czech Republic?

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62690094%3A18450%2F16%3A50004974" target="_blank" >RIV/62690094:18450/16:50004974 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216275:25410/16:39901150

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Do We Need More Fire Protection Units as an Impact of Population Aging and Industry 4.0 in the Czech Republic?

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The Czech Republic entered the stage of population aging. In addition, the Czech Republic might challenge an impact of Industry 4.0. As a consequence, it is to expect that more people will stay at home in order to spend there more time either as elderly, jobless or pensioners. Thus, more fire risk which might impact on public spending on fire protection might emerge. The paper deals with an impact of population aging and Industry 4.0 on the national capacity for fire protection in the Czech Republic. The authors made an attempt to know if more or less fire protection units will be needed as ongoing population aging and Industry 4.0 implementation will continue. Therefore, they construct a dynamic model in simulation software Stella. System Dynamics is an useful and effective method for the investigation of complex social systems. As an input, demographic data provided by Czech Statistical Office and fire statistics provided by the Fire and Rescue Service of the Czech Republic have been used. The initial Stella model will be developed into more complex model further because simulation proved that there should be an impact of demographic aging and the fourth industrial revolution on need of fire protection capacity. More fire protection units should be needed; however, number of fire protection units has been decreasing in the Czech Republic since 1986. Most of them are run by municipalities and operated by volunteers, hence, the fire protection is inexpensive and substitution volunteer fire protection units by Fire and Rescue Service of the Czech Republic might cause an increase of public spending. Aging population and unemployment affects the number of interventions FRS. Reducing the number of members of the FRS in the future could cause problems. A simple model confirmed possible problems, but the question merits a deeper analysis.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Do We Need More Fire Protection Units as an Impact of Population Aging and Industry 4.0 in the Czech Republic?

Popis výsledku anglicky

The Czech Republic entered the stage of population aging. In addition, the Czech Republic might challenge an impact of Industry 4.0. As a consequence, it is to expect that more people will stay at home in order to spend there more time either as elderly, jobless or pensioners. Thus, more fire risk which might impact on public spending on fire protection might emerge. The paper deals with an impact of population aging and Industry 4.0 on the national capacity for fire protection in the Czech Republic. The authors made an attempt to know if more or less fire protection units will be needed as ongoing population aging and Industry 4.0 implementation will continue. Therefore, they construct a dynamic model in simulation software Stella. System Dynamics is an useful and effective method for the investigation of complex social systems. As an input, demographic data provided by Czech Statistical Office and fire statistics provided by the Fire and Rescue Service of the Czech Republic have been used. The initial Stella model will be developed into more complex model further because simulation proved that there should be an impact of demographic aging and the fourth industrial revolution on need of fire protection capacity. More fire protection units should be needed; however, number of fire protection units has been decreasing in the Czech Republic since 1986. Most of them are run by municipalities and operated by volunteers, hence, the fire protection is inexpensive and substitution volunteer fire protection units by Fire and Rescue Service of the Czech Republic might cause an increase of public spending. Aging population and unemployment affects the number of interventions FRS. Reducing the number of members of the FRS in the future could cause problems. A simple model confirmed possible problems, but the question merits a deeper analysis.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GA14-02424S" target="_blank" >GA14-02424S: Metody operačního výzkumu pro podporu rozhodování v podmínkách neurčitosti</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

SMART AND EFFICIENT ECONOMY: PREPARATION FOR THE FUTURE INNOVATIVE ECONOMY

ISBN

978-80-214-5413-2

ISSN

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e-ISSN

neuvedeno

Počet stran výsledku

6

Strana od-do

723-728

Název nakladatele

UNIV TECHNOLOGY, FAC BUSINESS &amp; MANAGEMENT

Místo vydání

Brno

Místo konání akce

Brno

Datum konání akce

19. 5. 2016

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000408885200089