“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62690094%3A18460%2F24%3A50021262" target="_blank" >RIV/62690094:18460/24:50021262 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/latin-american-politics-and-society/article/i-would-prefer-not-to-establishing-the-missing-link-between-invalid-voting-and-public-protest-in-latin-america/9C056939DCAE27571A69C10691F55AD8" target="_blank" >https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/latin-american-politics-and-society/article/i-would-prefer-not-to-establishing-the-missing-link-between-invalid-voting-and-public-protest-in-latin-america/9C056939DCAE27571A69C10691F55AD8</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/lap.2023.29" target="_blank" >10.1017/lap.2023.29</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

While invalid voting is often treated as protest behavior in an electoral context, its association with actual political protests has not yet been empirically demonstrated. The relative scarcity of research on the topic is likely due to the hybrid nature of invalid voting as a both formal and informal political gesture. The novel availability of event-based data for public protests in Latin America allows for testing whether their occurrence is connected with changes in spoiled and blank ballots. Using an appropriate dynamic regression model covering variations in the 148 intervals between Latin American legislative elections in the 1979–2021 period, this study finds a strong connection between the emergence of antigovernment protests and surges in invalid voting (and vice versa). This relationship still holds at parity of economic conditions and it is reinforced by a lack of alternation in the party of power. Conversely, the appearance of workers’ strikes appears to work as a substitute for this behavior, which is also chosen by voters when democracy deteriorates, while corruption has no independent impact on invalid voting. Overall this work’s findings promise to send the research agenda on invalid voting in a new direction, previously unexplored because of an absence of fitting data.

Název v anglickém jazyce

“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Popis výsledku anglicky

While invalid voting is often treated as protest behavior in an electoral context, its association with actual political protests has not yet been empirically demonstrated. The relative scarcity of research on the topic is likely due to the hybrid nature of invalid voting as a both formal and informal political gesture. The novel availability of event-based data for public protests in Latin America allows for testing whether their occurrence is connected with changes in spoiled and blank ballots. Using an appropriate dynamic regression model covering variations in the 148 intervals between Latin American legislative elections in the 1979–2021 period, this study finds a strong connection between the emergence of antigovernment protests and surges in invalid voting (and vice versa). This relationship still holds at parity of economic conditions and it is reinforced by a lack of alternation in the party of power. Conversely, the appearance of workers’ strikes appears to work as a substitute for this behavior, which is also chosen by voters when democracy deteriorates, while corruption has no independent impact on invalid voting. Overall this work’s findings promise to send the research agenda on invalid voting in a new direction, previously unexplored because of an absence of fitting data.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Latin American Politics and Society

ISSN

1531-426X

e-ISSN

1548-2456

Svazek periodika

66

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

27

Strana od-do

106-132

Kód UT WoS článku

001144342800001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85183108498