Attribution of European temperature variability during 1882–2010: A statistical perspective

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67179843%3A_____%2F15%3A00447188" target="_blank" >RIV/67179843:_____/15:00447188 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216208:11320/15:10319100

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Attribution of European temperature variability during 1882–2010: A statistical perspective

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Gridded monthly temperature data (GISTEMP and Berkeley Earth) covering the European region were investigated for the presence of components attributable to climate forcings, both anthropogenic and natural, and to major modes of internal climate variability. Effects of individual predictors were separated by multiple linear regression applied to time series over 1882–2010. It was shown that the presence of a warming trend correlated with greenhouse gases concentration was generally strong in European temperatures and typically combined with mild cooling ascribable to anthropogenic aerosols. Components attributable to variations in solar activity were rather weak and not statistically significant in most locations, as were the imprints of large volcanic eruptions. A strong association between North Atlantic Oscillation phase and temperature was confirmed for much of Europe, while temperature oscillations synchronized with the El Niño Southern Oscillation were quite limited in magnitude and displayed low levels of statistical significance. The influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation was noticeable particularly in the western-most parts of Europe, whereas the Pacific Decadal Oscillation’s significant impact extended to Scandinavia.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Attribution of European temperature variability during 1882–2010: A statistical perspective

Popis výsledku anglicky

Gridded monthly temperature data (GISTEMP and Berkeley Earth) covering the European region were investigated for the presence of components attributable to climate forcings, both anthropogenic and natural, and to major modes of internal climate variability. Effects of individual predictors were separated by multiple linear regression applied to time series over 1882–2010. It was shown that the presence of a warming trend correlated with greenhouse gases concentration was generally strong in European temperatures and typically combined with mild cooling ascribable to anthropogenic aerosols. Components attributable to variations in solar activity were rather weak and not statistically significant in most locations, as were the imprints of large volcanic eruptions. A strong association between North Atlantic Oscillation phase and temperature was confirmed for much of Europe, while temperature oscillations synchronized with the El Niño Southern Oscillation were quite limited in magnitude and displayed low levels of statistical significance. The influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation was noticeable particularly in the western-most parts of Europe, whereas the Pacific Decadal Oscillation’s significant impact extended to Scandinavia.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

DO - Ochrana krajinných území

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2015

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Global Change: A Complex Challenge : Conference Proceedings

ISBN

978-80-87902-10-3

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

4

Strana od-do

10-13

Název nakladatele

Global Change Research Centre, The Czech Academy of Sciences, v. v. i.

Místo vydání

Brno

Místo konání akce

Brno

Datum konání akce

23. 3. 2015

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000381161600001