Permafrost table temperature and active layer thickness variability on James Ross Island, Antarctic Peninsula, in 2004–2021

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985530%3A_____%2F23%3A00568223" target="_blank" >RIV/67985530:_____/23:00568223 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216224:14310/23:00130559

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969723003054" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969723003054</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161690" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161690</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Permafrost table temperature and active layer thickness variability on James Ross Island, Antarctic Peninsula, in 2004–2021

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Climate change and its impacts on sensitive polar ecosystems are relatively little studied in Antarctic regions. Permafrost and active layer changes over time in periglacial regions of the world are important indicators of climate variability. These changes (e. g. permafrost degradation, increasing of the active layer thickness) can have a significant impact on Antarctic terrestrial ecosystems. The study site (AWS-JGM) is located on the Ulu Peninsula in the north of James Ross Island. Ground temperatures at depths of 5, 50, and 75 cm have been measured at the site since 2011, while air temperature began to be measured in 2004. The main objective is to evaluate the year-to-year variability of the reconstructed temperature of the top of the permafrost table and the active layer thickness (ALT) since 2004 based on air temperature data using TTOP and Stefan models, respectively. The models were verified against direct observations from a reference period 2011/12-2020/21 showing a strong correlation of 0.95 (RMSE = 0.52) and 0.84 (RMSE = 3.54) for TTOP and Stefan models, respectively. The reconstructed average temperature of the permafrost table for the period 2004/05-2020/21 was -5.8 degrees C with a trend of -0.1 degrees C/decade, while the average air temperature reached -6.6 degrees C with a trend of 0.6 degrees C/decade. Air temperatures did not have an increasing trend throughout the period, but in the first part of the period (2004/05-2010/11) showed a decreasing tendency (-1.3 degrees C/decade). In the period 2011/ 12-2020/21, it was a warming of 1.9 degrees C/decade. The average modelled ALT for the period 2004/05-2020/21 reached a value of 60cm with a trend of -1.6 cm/decade. Both models were found to provide reliable results, and thus they significantly expand the information about the permafrost and ALT, which is necessary for a better understanding of their spatiotemporal variability and the impact of climate change on the cryosphere.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Permafrost table temperature and active layer thickness variability on James Ross Island, Antarctic Peninsula, in 2004–2021

Popis výsledku anglicky

Climate change and its impacts on sensitive polar ecosystems are relatively little studied in Antarctic regions. Permafrost and active layer changes over time in periglacial regions of the world are important indicators of climate variability. These changes (e. g. permafrost degradation, increasing of the active layer thickness) can have a significant impact on Antarctic terrestrial ecosystems. The study site (AWS-JGM) is located on the Ulu Peninsula in the north of James Ross Island. Ground temperatures at depths of 5, 50, and 75 cm have been measured at the site since 2011, while air temperature began to be measured in 2004. The main objective is to evaluate the year-to-year variability of the reconstructed temperature of the top of the permafrost table and the active layer thickness (ALT) since 2004 based on air temperature data using TTOP and Stefan models, respectively. The models were verified against direct observations from a reference period 2011/12-2020/21 showing a strong correlation of 0.95 (RMSE = 0.52) and 0.84 (RMSE = 3.54) for TTOP and Stefan models, respectively. The reconstructed average temperature of the permafrost table for the period 2004/05-2020/21 was -5.8 degrees C with a trend of -0.1 degrees C/decade, while the average air temperature reached -6.6 degrees C with a trend of 0.6 degrees C/decade. Air temperatures did not have an increasing trend throughout the period, but in the first part of the period (2004/05-2010/11) showed a decreasing tendency (-1.3 degrees C/decade). In the period 2011/ 12-2020/21, it was a warming of 1.9 degrees C/decade. The average modelled ALT for the period 2004/05-2020/21 reached a value of 60cm with a trend of -1.6 cm/decade. Both models were found to provide reliable results, and thus they significantly expand the information about the permafrost and ALT, which is necessary for a better understanding of their spatiotemporal variability and the impact of climate change on the cryosphere.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GM22-28659M" target="_blank" >GM22-28659M: Vliv změny klimatu na dynamiku periglaciálního prostředí v oblasti Antarktického poloostrova</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2023

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Science of the Total Environment

ISSN

0048-9697

e-ISSN

1879-1026

Svazek periodika

869

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

April

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

161690

Kód UT WoS článku

000926683900001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85147194780