Statistical Calibration of the Natural Gas Consumption Model

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F09%3A00329206" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/09:00329206 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Statistical Calibration of the Natural Gas Consumption Model

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

We will discuss a problem pertinent to many situations in which a statistical model is developed on a sample of individuals (describing their trajectories), but then it is applied on a much larger population of interest. Typical examples occur in naturalgas and other energy consumption contexts. Due to various deficiencies of the original sample-only based model, due to possible inconsistencies between sample and the population as a whole, and/or due to inherently different nature of the available sample and population data, calibration arises as a natural way to improve original model. We start with a simple approach and proceed to introduce a formal and flexible, time-varying statistical model of state-space nature, from which such a calibration will come out as one of the products. The calibration model is quite general and hence it can be used far beyond the particular context of natural gas consumption modeling in which it was originally motivated.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Statistical Calibration of the Natural Gas Consumption Model

Popis výsledku anglicky

We will discuss a problem pertinent to many situations in which a statistical model is developed on a sample of individuals (describing their trajectories), but then it is applied on a much larger population of interest. Typical examples occur in naturalgas and other energy consumption contexts. Due to various deficiencies of the original sample-only based model, due to possible inconsistencies between sample and the population as a whole, and/or due to inherently different nature of the available sample and population data, calibration arises as a natural way to improve original model. We start with a simple approach and proceed to introduce a formal and flexible, time-varying statistical model of state-space nature, from which such a calibration will come out as one of the products. The calibration model is quite general and hence it can be used far beyond the particular context of natural gas consumption modeling in which it was originally motivated.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

JE - Nejaderná energetika, spotřeba a užití energie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/1ET400300513" target="_blank" >1ET400300513: Matematické modelování spotřeby zemního plynu zákazníků s malým a středním odběrem</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Rok uplatnění

2009

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

WSEAS Transactions on Systems

ISSN

1109-2777

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

8

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

7

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

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Kód UT WoS článku

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EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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