From scenarios to strategies: Integrated methodology for addressing urban heat vulnerability in an uncertain future.

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F25%3A00619167" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/25:00619167 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/86652079:_____/25:00619167 RIV/60460709:41330/25:103034

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210670725000794" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210670725000794</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2025.106202" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.scs.2025.106202</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

From scenarios to strategies: Integrated methodology for addressing urban heat vulnerability in an uncertain future.

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Challenges posed by extreme heat threaten cities, human health and well-being. Consequently, climate adaptation has become crucial for sustainable urban development. Heat vulnerability assessment has been proposed to guide adaptation strategies by identifying areas and populations susceptible to climate impacts. This article presents an innovative methodological approach to heat vulnerability assessment, integrating climate models based on Representative Concentration Pathways, participatory co-production of future land use and land cover scenarios derived from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, and demographic projections. Using Prague as a case study, this approach generates vulnerability scenarios that pinpoint specific patterns and vulnerable urban areas for both near (2030) and distant futures (2050). Results suggest that while climate change and socioeconomic development outlooks will negatively impact urban vulnerability, cities can mitigate climate effects through comprehensive adaptation measures and sustainably-oriented urban planning. The article highlights methodological contributions and explores how a nuanced understanding of future developments can empower planners and decision-makers to enhance urban climate resilience and sustainability.

Název v anglickém jazyce

From scenarios to strategies: Integrated methodology for addressing urban heat vulnerability in an uncertain future.

Popis výsledku anglicky

Challenges posed by extreme heat threaten cities, human health and well-being. Consequently, climate adaptation has become crucial for sustainable urban development. Heat vulnerability assessment has been proposed to guide adaptation strategies by identifying areas and populations susceptible to climate impacts. This article presents an innovative methodological approach to heat vulnerability assessment, integrating climate models based on Representative Concentration Pathways, participatory co-production of future land use and land cover scenarios derived from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, and demographic projections. Using Prague as a case study, this approach generates vulnerability scenarios that pinpoint specific patterns and vulnerable urban areas for both near (2030) and distant futures (2050). Results suggest that while climate change and socioeconomic development outlooks will negatively impact urban vulnerability, cities can mitigate climate effects through comprehensive adaptation measures and sustainably-oriented urban planning. The article highlights methodological contributions and explores how a nuanced understanding of future developments can empower planners and decision-makers to enhance urban climate resilience and sustainability.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10509 - Meteorology and atmospheric sciences

Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Sustainable Cities and Society

ISSN

2210-6707

e-ISSN

2210-6715

Svazek periodika

121

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

MAR

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

106202

Kód UT WoS článku

001426364700001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85217254716