Anticipating the DART Impact: Orbit Estimation of Dimorphos Using a Simplified Model
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985815%3A_____%2F22%3A00563026" target="_blank" >RIV/67985815:_____/22:00563026 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0335115" target="_blank" >https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0335115</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3847/PSJ/ac91c0" target="_blank" >10.3847/PSJ/ac91c0</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
Anticipating the DART Impact: Orbit Estimation of Dimorphos Using a Simplified Model
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
We used the times of occultations and eclipses between the components of the 65803 Didymos binary system observed in its light curves from 2003 to 2021 to estimate the orbital parameters of Dimorphos relative to Didymos. We employed a weighted least-squares approach and a modified Keplerian orbit model in order to accommodate the effects from nongravitational forces such as binary YORP that could cause a linear change in mean motion over time. We estimate that the period of the mutual orbit at the epoch 2022 September 26.0 TDB, the day of the DART impact, is 11.921 487 ± 0.000028 hr (1σ) and that the mean motion of the orbit is changing at a rate of (5.0 ± 1.0) × 10-18 rad s-2 (1σ). The formal 3σ uncertainty in orbital phase of Dimorphos during the planned Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission is 5.°4. Observations from 2022 July to September, a few months to days prior to the DART impact, should provide modest improvements to the orbital phase uncertainty and reduce it to about 4.°2. These results, generated using a relatively simple model, are consistent with those generated using the more sophisticated model of Scheirich & Pravec, which demonstrates the reliability of our method and adds confidence to these mission-critical results.
Název v anglickém jazyce
Anticipating the DART Impact: Orbit Estimation of Dimorphos Using a Simplified Model
Popis výsledku anglicky
We used the times of occultations and eclipses between the components of the 65803 Didymos binary system observed in its light curves from 2003 to 2021 to estimate the orbital parameters of Dimorphos relative to Didymos. We employed a weighted least-squares approach and a modified Keplerian orbit model in order to accommodate the effects from nongravitational forces such as binary YORP that could cause a linear change in mean motion over time. We estimate that the period of the mutual orbit at the epoch 2022 September 26.0 TDB, the day of the DART impact, is 11.921 487 ± 0.000028 hr (1σ) and that the mean motion of the orbit is changing at a rate of (5.0 ± 1.0) × 10-18 rad s-2 (1σ). The formal 3σ uncertainty in orbital phase of Dimorphos during the planned Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mission is 5.°4. Observations from 2022 July to September, a few months to days prior to the DART impact, should provide modest improvements to the orbital phase uncertainty and reduce it to about 4.°2. These results, generated using a relatively simple model, are consistent with those generated using the more sophisticated model of Scheirich & Pravec, which demonstrates the reliability of our method and adds confidence to these mission-critical results.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
10308 - Astronomy (including astrophysics,space science)
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
<a href="/cs/project/GA20-04431S" target="_blank" >GA20-04431S: Fyzikální a dynamické vlastnosti asteroidů cílených kosmickými sondami, a jejich evoluční dráhy</a><br>
Návaznosti
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2022
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
The Planetary Science Journal
ISSN
2632-3338
e-ISSN
2632-3338
Svazek periodika
3
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
10
Stát vydavatele periodika
US - Spojené státy americké
Počet stran výsledku
8
Strana od-do
234
Kód UT WoS článku
000912976000001
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85142250988