Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F22%3A00562210" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/22:00562210 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

We assessed citizen science databases usefulness in large-scale phenological research on temperate forest understory species, using a common and widely distributed in Europe: Anemone nemorosa. We analyzed 9804 photos from these databases. We predicted flowering dates for the present and future climate according to Shared Socioeconomic Pathways averaged over four global circulation models for 2040–60 and 2060–80 across A. nemorosa natural range. The predicted changes in the phenology of flowering will not significantly change the duration of flowering but will accelerate onset of this phenophase by about one month. Predicted changes will differ spatially, being the largest in Eastern Europe. Our study showed that citizen science might provide a valuable dataset that allows for developing reliable models of plant phenology.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa

Popis výsledku anglicky

We assessed citizen science databases usefulness in large-scale phenological research on temperate forest understory species, using a common and widely distributed in Europe: Anemone nemorosa. We analyzed 9804 photos from these databases. We predicted flowering dates for the present and future climate according to Shared Socioeconomic Pathways averaged over four global circulation models for 2040–60 and 2060–80 across A. nemorosa natural range. The predicted changes in the phenology of flowering will not significantly change the duration of flowering but will accelerate onset of this phenophase by about one month. Predicted changes will differ spatially, being the largest in Eastern Europe. Our study showed that citizen science might provide a valuable dataset that allows for developing reliable models of plant phenology.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10611 - Plant sciences, botany

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

ISSN

0168-1923

e-ISSN

1873-2240

Svazek periodika

325

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

15 October

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

109133

Kód UT WoS článku

000861223400002

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85136156082