Invasion risk of the currently cultivated alien flora in southern Africa is predicted to decline under climate change
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F24%3A00599009" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/24:00599009 - isvavai.cz</a>
Nalezeny alternativní kódy
RIV/00216208:11310/24:10489105
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07010" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07010</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07010" target="_blank" >10.1111/ecog.07010</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
Invasion risk of the currently cultivated alien flora in southern Africa is predicted to decline under climate change
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
Climate change has already promoted the naturalization of many alien plants in temperate regions, but whether it is similar in (sub)tropical areas is insufficiently known. In this study, we used species distribution models for 1527 cultivated alien plants to evaluate current and future invasion risks across different biomes and 10 countries in southern Africa. Our results confirm that the area of suitable climate is a strong predictor of naturalization success among the cultivated alien flora. In contrast to previous findings from temperate regions, however, climatic suitability is generally predicted to decrease for potential aliens across our (sub)tropical study region. While increasingly hotter and drier conditions are likely to drive declines in suitability for potential aliens across most biomes of southern Africa, in some the number of potential invaders is predicted to increase under moderate climate change scenarios (e.g. in dry broadleaf forests and flooded grasslands).
Název v anglickém jazyce
Invasion risk of the currently cultivated alien flora in southern Africa is predicted to decline under climate change
Popis výsledku anglicky
Climate change has already promoted the naturalization of many alien plants in temperate regions, but whether it is similar in (sub)tropical areas is insufficiently known. In this study, we used species distribution models for 1527 cultivated alien plants to evaluate current and future invasion risks across different biomes and 10 countries in southern Africa. Our results confirm that the area of suitable climate is a strong predictor of naturalization success among the cultivated alien flora. In contrast to previous findings from temperate regions, however, climatic suitability is generally predicted to decrease for potential aliens across our (sub)tropical study region. While increasingly hotter and drier conditions are likely to drive declines in suitability for potential aliens across most biomes of southern Africa, in some the number of potential invaders is predicted to increase under moderate climate change scenarios (e.g. in dry broadleaf forests and flooded grasslands).
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
10618 - Ecology
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
<a href="/cs/project/GX19-28807X" target="_blank" >GX19-28807X: Makroekologie rostlinných invazí: význam stanovišť a globální syntéza (SynHab)</a><br>
Návaznosti
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2024
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
Ecography
ISSN
0906-7590
e-ISSN
1600-0587
Svazek periodika
2024
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
6
Stát vydavatele periodika
US - Spojené státy americké
Počet stran výsledku
13
Strana od-do
e07010
Kód UT WoS článku
001198235700001
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85189707331