Modeling Guatemala

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985998%3A_____%2F12%3A00426516" target="_blank" >RIV/67985998:_____/12:00426516 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Modeling Guatemala

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The report consists of three chapters. Chapter 1 presents the structural macroeconomic model, its changes compared to the December 2009 version, and its properties captured by impulse-response functions and by variance decompositions of model?s variablesin terms of the model shocks. Important is the part on the model-consistent interpretation of the recent economic history of Guatemala. The section describing Bayesian vector autoregressions used for the nearterm forecasting concludes. Chapter 2 evaluates how the models perform empirically. The forecasting power is assessed using both in-sample and out-of-sample comparisons with the random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison. The last chapter provides anoverview of the considerable country database that has been compiled.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Modeling Guatemala

Popis výsledku anglicky

The report consists of three chapters. Chapter 1 presents the structural macroeconomic model, its changes compared to the December 2009 version, and its properties captured by impulse-response functions and by variance decompositions of model?s variablesin terms of the model shocks. Important is the part on the model-consistent interpretation of the recent economic history of Guatemala. The section describing Bayesian vector autoregressions used for the nearterm forecasting concludes. Chapter 2 evaluates how the models perform empirically. The forecasting power is assessed using both in-sample and out-of-sample comparisons with the random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison. The last chapter provides anoverview of the considerable country database that has been compiled.

Druh

O - Ostatní výsledky

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/LF11018" target="_blank" >LF11018: Internetový portál a makroekonomické modely pro prognózování a měnověpolitickou analýzu v rozvojových zemích</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2012

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů