The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378025%3A_____%2F20%3A00539667" target="_blank" >RIV/68378025:_____/20:00539667 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.politologickycasopis.cz/en/archive/2020/3/" target="_blank" >https://www.politologickycasopis.cz/en/archive/2020/3/</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5817/PC2020-3-303" target="_blank" >10.5817/PC2020-3-303</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper analyses electoral volatility in the 2020 Slovak elections at the level of individual voters using exit poll surveys. The availability of exit polls from the previous elections of 2012 and 2016 allows us to put the 2020 election in context and analyse the patterns (and deviances from them) observed across the three elections. Furthermore, the paper summarizes the aggregate volatility since 1992, demonstrating a high level of net volatility with peaks of over 30 percent. As for the individual level, the analysis concentrates on three important issues in volatility research: (1) vote losses of government parties and the incumbent effect, (2) the role of new parties in mobilization of previous non-voters and first-time voters, (3) since Slovakia is a country with a significant Hungarian minority, special attention is given to vote switching by Hungarian voters and more general patterns of ethnic voting.

Název v anglickém jazyce

The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper analyses electoral volatility in the 2020 Slovak elections at the level of individual voters using exit poll surveys. The availability of exit polls from the previous elections of 2012 and 2016 allows us to put the 2020 election in context and analyse the patterns (and deviances from them) observed across the three elections. Furthermore, the paper summarizes the aggregate volatility since 1992, demonstrating a high level of net volatility with peaks of over 30 percent. As for the individual level, the analysis concentrates on three important issues in volatility research: (1) vote losses of government parties and the incumbent effect, (2) the role of new parties in mobilization of previous non-voters and first-time voters, (3) since Slovakia is a country with a significant Hungarian minority, special attention is given to vote switching by Hungarian voters and more general patterns of ethnic voting.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GA19-06096S" target="_blank" >GA19-06096S: Úroveň a zdroje volební volatility v postkomunistické Evropě</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2020

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Politologický časopis

ISSN

1211-3247

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

27

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

20

Strana od-do

303-322

Kód UT WoS článku

000592801300005

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85100461707