Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F10%3A00349905" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/10:00349905 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/62156489:43210/10:00162293

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This study demonstrates the methodology and benefits of climate-driven modelling tools using the European corn borer (ECB) and Colorado potato beetle (CPB). CLIMEX models of the potential geographical distributions of each species were used to study theeffects of climate change on ECB and CPB by estimating changes in population dynamics and/or infestation pressure during the first half of the 21st century. Simulations were conducted using 3 global circulation models and scaled by low and high values ofglobal temperature change. The results predict an increase in newly established areas and in the number of pest generations per year. The ratio of arable land affected by a particular number of generations is also expected to increase. Another significant result is shown for higher altitudes currently unoccupied by pests. We recorded rapid generation increase (from 0 to 2), which supports the hypothesis that these areas are more affected by increased temperatures.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region

Popis výsledku anglicky

This study demonstrates the methodology and benefits of climate-driven modelling tools using the European corn borer (ECB) and Colorado potato beetle (CPB). CLIMEX models of the potential geographical distributions of each species were used to study theeffects of climate change on ECB and CPB by estimating changes in population dynamics and/or infestation pressure during the first half of the 21st century. Simulations were conducted using 3 global circulation models and scaled by low and high values ofglobal temperature change. The results predict an increase in newly established areas and in the number of pest generations per year. The ratio of arable land affected by a particular number of generations is also expected to increase. Another significant result is shown for higher altitudes currently unoccupied by pests. We recorded rapid generation increase (from 0 to 2), which supports the hypothesis that these areas are more affected by increased temperatures.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Rok uplatnění

2010

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Climate Research

ISSN

0936-577X

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

44

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

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Kód UT WoS článku

000284005500009

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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