Declining impacts of hot spells on mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986-2009: adaptation to climate change?

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F12%3A00378028" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/12:00378028 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0358-4" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0358-4</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0358-4" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10584-011-0358-4</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Declining impacts of hot spells on mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986-2009: adaptation to climate change?

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The study examines temporal changes in mortality associated with spells of large positive temperature anomalies (hot spells) in extended summer season in the population of the Czech Republic (Central Europe) during 1986-2009. Declining trends in the mortality impacts are found in spite of rising temperature trends. The finding remains unchanged if possible confounding effects of within-season acclimatization to heat and the mortality displacement effect are taken into account. Recent positive socioeconomic development, following the collapse of communism in Central and Eastern Europe in 1989, and better public awareness of heat-related risks are likely the primary causes of the declining vulnerability. The results suggest that climate change may have relatively little influence on heat-related deaths, since changes in other factors that affect vulnerability of the population are dominant instead of temperature trends. It is essential to better understand the observed nonstationarity of

Název v anglickém jazyce

Declining impacts of hot spells on mortality in the Czech Republic, 1986-2009: adaptation to climate change?

Popis výsledku anglicky

The study examines temporal changes in mortality associated with spells of large positive temperature anomalies (hot spells) in extended summer season in the population of the Czech Republic (Central Europe) during 1986-2009. Declining trends in the mortality impacts are found in spite of rising temperature trends. The finding remains unchanged if possible confounding effects of within-season acclimatization to heat and the mortality displacement effect are taken into account. Recent positive socioeconomic development, following the collapse of communism in Central and Eastern Europe in 1989, and better public awareness of heat-related risks are likely the primary causes of the declining vulnerability. The results suggest that climate change may have relatively little influence on heat-related deaths, since changes in other factors that affect vulnerability of the population are dominant instead of temperature trends. It is essential to better understand the observed nonstationarity of

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2012

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Climatic Change

ISSN

0165-0009

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

113

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

17

Strana od-do

437-453

Kód UT WoS článku

000305211500020

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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