Projected changes of rainfall event characteristics for the Czech Republic
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F16%3A00464883" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/16:00464883 - isvavai.cz</a>
Nalezeny alternativní kódy
RIV/60460709:41330/16:71190
Výsledek na webu
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/johh-2016-0036" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/johh-2016-0036</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/johh-2016-0036" target="_blank" >10.1515/johh-2016-0036</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
Projected changes of rainfall event characteristics for the Czech Republic
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
Projected changes of warm season (May–September) rainfall events in an ensemble of 30 regional climate model (RCM) simulations are assessed for the Czech Republic. Individual rainfall events are identified using the concept of minimum inter-event time and only heavy events are considered. The changes of rainfall event characteristics arenevaluated between the control (1981–2000) and two scenario (2020–2049 and 2070–2099) periods. Despite a consistent decrease in the number of heavy rainfall events, there is a large uncertainty in projected changes in seasonal precipitation total due to heavy events. Most considered characteristics (rainfall event depth, mean rainfall rate, maximum 60-minnrainfall intensity and indicators of rainfall event erosivity) are projected to increase and larger increases appear for more extreme values. Only rainfall event duration slightly decreases in the more distant scenario period according to the RCM simulations. As a consequence, the number of less extreme heavy rainfall events as well as the number of long events decreases in majority of the RCM simulations. Changes in most event characteristics (and especially in characteristics related to the rainfall intensity) depend on changes in radiative forcing and temperature for the future periods. Only changes in the number of events and seasonal total due to heavy events depend significantly on altitude
Název v anglickém jazyce
Projected changes of rainfall event characteristics for the Czech Republic
Popis výsledku anglicky
Projected changes of warm season (May–September) rainfall events in an ensemble of 30 regional climate model (RCM) simulations are assessed for the Czech Republic. Individual rainfall events are identified using the concept of minimum inter-event time and only heavy events are considered. The changes of rainfall event characteristics arenevaluated between the control (1981–2000) and two scenario (2020–2049 and 2070–2099) periods. Despite a consistent decrease in the number of heavy rainfall events, there is a large uncertainty in projected changes in seasonal precipitation total due to heavy events. Most considered characteristics (rainfall event depth, mean rainfall rate, maximum 60-minnrainfall intensity and indicators of rainfall event erosivity) are projected to increase and larger increases appear for more extreme values. Only rainfall event duration slightly decreases in the more distant scenario period according to the RCM simulations. As a consequence, the number of less extreme heavy rainfall events as well as the number of long events decreases in majority of the RCM simulations. Changes in most event characteristics (and especially in characteristics related to the rainfall intensity) depend on changes in radiative forcing and temperature for the future periods. Only changes in the number of events and seasonal total due to heavy events depend significantly on altitude
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>x</sub> - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)
CEP obor
DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie
OECD FORD obor
—
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
<a href="/cs/project/GA14-18675S" target="_blank" >GA14-18675S: Pokročilé modely srážkových extrémů a jejich aplikace v simulacích klimatických modelů s vysokým rozlišením</a><br>
Návaznosti
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2016
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
ISSN
0042-790X
e-ISSN
—
Svazek periodika
64
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
4
Stát vydavatele periodika
SK - Slovenská republika
Počet stran výsledku
11
Strana od-do
—
Kód UT WoS článku
000394492200012
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-84995693586