Meteorological factors, population immunity, and COVID-19 incidence: A global multi-city analysis

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F24%3A00602197" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/24:00602197 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/60460709:41330/24:101530

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://journals.lww.com/environepidem/fulltext/2024/12000/meteorological_factors,_population_immunity,_and.12.aspx" target="_blank" >https://journals.lww.com/environepidem/fulltext/2024/12000/meteorological_factors,_population_immunity,_and.12.aspx</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/EE9.0000000000000338" target="_blank" >10.1097/EE9.0000000000000338</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Meteorological factors, population immunity, and COVID-19 incidence: A global multi-city analysis

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Objectives:While COVID-19 continues to challenge the world, meteorological variables are thought to impact COVID-19 transmission. Previous studies showed evidence of negative associations between high temperature and absolute humidity on COVID-19 transmission. Our research aims to fill the knowledge gap on the modifying effect of vaccination rates and strains on the weather-COVID-19 association.Methods:Our study included COVID-19 data from 439 cities in 22 countries spanning 3 February 2020 31 August 2022 and meteorological variables (temperature, relative humidity, absolute humidity, solar radiation, and precipitation). We used a two-stage time-series design to assess the association between meteorological factors and COVID-19 incidence. For the exposure modeling, we used distributed lag nonlinear models with a lag of up to 14 days. Finally, we pooled the estimates using a random effect meta-analytic model and tested vaccination rates and dominant strains as possible effect modifiers.Results:Our results showed an association between temperature and absolute humidity on COVID-19 transmission. At 5 degrees C, the relative risk of COVID-19 incidence is 1.22-fold higher compared to a reference level at 17 degrees C. Correlated with temperature, we observed an inverse association for absolute humidity. We observed a tendency of increased risk on days without precipitation, but no association for relative humidity and solar radiation. No interaction between vaccination rates or strains on the weather-COVID-19 association was observed.Conclusions:This study strengthens previous evidence of a relationship of temperature and absolute humidity with COVID-19 incidence. Furthermore, no evidence was found that vaccinations and strains significantly modify the relationship between environmental factors and COVID-19 transmission.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Meteorological factors, population immunity, and COVID-19 incidence: A global multi-city analysis

Popis výsledku anglicky

Objectives:While COVID-19 continues to challenge the world, meteorological variables are thought to impact COVID-19 transmission. Previous studies showed evidence of negative associations between high temperature and absolute humidity on COVID-19 transmission. Our research aims to fill the knowledge gap on the modifying effect of vaccination rates and strains on the weather-COVID-19 association.Methods:Our study included COVID-19 data from 439 cities in 22 countries spanning 3 February 2020 31 August 2022 and meteorological variables (temperature, relative humidity, absolute humidity, solar radiation, and precipitation). We used a two-stage time-series design to assess the association between meteorological factors and COVID-19 incidence. For the exposure modeling, we used distributed lag nonlinear models with a lag of up to 14 days. Finally, we pooled the estimates using a random effect meta-analytic model and tested vaccination rates and dominant strains as possible effect modifiers.Results:Our results showed an association between temperature and absolute humidity on COVID-19 transmission. At 5 degrees C, the relative risk of COVID-19 incidence is 1.22-fold higher compared to a reference level at 17 degrees C. Correlated with temperature, we observed an inverse association for absolute humidity. We observed a tendency of increased risk on days without precipitation, but no association for relative humidity and solar radiation. No interaction between vaccination rates or strains on the weather-COVID-19 association was observed.Conclusions:This study strengthens previous evidence of a relationship of temperature and absolute humidity with COVID-19 incidence. Furthermore, no evidence was found that vaccinations and strains significantly modify the relationship between environmental factors and COVID-19 transmission.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10510 - Climatic research

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GA22-24920S" target="_blank" >GA22-24920S: Vztahy mezi počasím, epidemiemi a sezónním chodem úmrtnosti</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Environmental Epidemiology

ISSN

2474-7882

e-ISSN

2474-7882

Svazek periodika

8

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

6

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

e338

Kód UT WoS článku

001351735700001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85209351364