Modeling Electricity Price Dynamics Using Flexible Distributions

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21230%2F22%3A00358366" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21230/22:00358366 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/math10101757" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.3390/math10101757</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/math10101757" target="_blank" >10.3390/math10101757</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Modeling Electricity Price Dynamics Using Flexible Distributions

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

We consider the wholesale electricity market prices in England and Wales during its complete history, where price-cap regulation and divestment series were introduced at different points in time. We compare the impact of these regulatory reforms on the dynamics of electricity prices. For this purpose, we apply flexible distributions that account for asymmetry, heavy tails, and excess kurtosis usually observed in data or model residuals. The application of skew generalized error distribution is appropriate for our case study. We find that after the second series of divestments, price level and volatility are lower than during price-cap regulation and after the first series of divestments. This finding implies that a sufficient horizontal restructuring through divestment series may be superior to price-cap regulation. The conclusion could be interesting to other countries because the England and Wales electricity market served as the benchmark model for liberalizing energy markets worldwide.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Modeling Electricity Price Dynamics Using Flexible Distributions

Popis výsledku anglicky

We consider the wholesale electricity market prices in England and Wales during its complete history, where price-cap regulation and divestment series were introduced at different points in time. We compare the impact of these regulatory reforms on the dynamics of electricity prices. For this purpose, we apply flexible distributions that account for asymmetry, heavy tails, and excess kurtosis usually observed in data or model residuals. The application of skew generalized error distribution is appropriate for our case study. We find that after the second series of divestments, price level and volatility are lower than during price-cap regulation and after the first series of divestments. This finding implies that a sufficient horizontal restructuring through divestment series may be superior to price-cap regulation. The conclusion could be interesting to other countries because the England and Wales electricity market served as the benchmark model for liberalizing energy markets worldwide.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Mathematics

ISSN

2227-7390

e-ISSN

2227-7390

Svazek periodika

10

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

10

Stát vydavatele periodika

CH - Švýcarská konfederace

Počet stran výsledku

15

Strana od-do

1-15

Kód UT WoS článku

000801913500001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85130898162