Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21460%2F24%3A00374653" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21460/24:00374653 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8" target="_blank" >10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Background: Demographic metrics are crucial for assessing population health outcomes, particularly amid the COVID-19 pandemic's impact, emphasizing the need for timely estimates within long-term trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 offers new demographic estimates for 204 countries, with a focus on mortality and life expectancy changes during the pandemic. Methods: Utilizing 22,223 data sources, including vital registration and surveys, mortality and population were estimated, with additional data informing migration, HIV, and demographic disruptions. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression synthesized mortality rates. Findings: Global mortality trends showed a decline from 1950 to 2019 but increased during 2020–21 due to the pandemic, while child mortality continued to decrease. Excess mortality from COVID-19 totaled 15.9 million globally. Life expectancy increased historically but declined by 1.6 years between 2019 and 2021. Interpretation: COVID-19 increased adult mortality rates but had slower effects on child mortality. Despite pandemic impacts, global health improved over 72 years, with population aging and growth deceleration observed. These estimates aid stakeholders in understanding post-pandemic shifts and long-term trends.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Popis výsledku anglicky

Background: Demographic metrics are crucial for assessing population health outcomes, particularly amid the COVID-19 pandemic's impact, emphasizing the need for timely estimates within long-term trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 offers new demographic estimates for 204 countries, with a focus on mortality and life expectancy changes during the pandemic. Methods: Utilizing 22,223 data sources, including vital registration and surveys, mortality and population were estimated, with additional data informing migration, HIV, and demographic disruptions. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression synthesized mortality rates. Findings: Global mortality trends showed a decline from 1950 to 2019 but increased during 2020–21 due to the pandemic, while child mortality continued to decrease. Excess mortality from COVID-19 totaled 15.9 million globally. Life expectancy increased historically but declined by 1.6 years between 2019 and 2021. Interpretation: COVID-19 increased adult mortality rates but had slower effects on child mortality. Despite pandemic impacts, global health improved over 72 years, with population aging and growth deceleration observed. These estimates aid stakeholders in understanding post-pandemic shifts and long-term trends.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50700 - Social and economic geography

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

N - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z neverejnych zdroju

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

The Lancet

ISSN

0140-6736

e-ISSN

1474-547X

Svazek periodika

S0140-6736

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

24

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

87

Strana od-do

1-87

Kód UT WoS článku

001311164000001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85188720479